SPM 09-04-2021: Widespread, Severe Thunderstorms for Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, and Eastern Plains

Issue Date: Saturday, September 4th, 2021
Issue Time: 10:05 AM MDT

Summary:

The end of the work week began with early morning showers and storms lingering around the Northeast Plains and Palmer Ridge before lifting and dissipating with the general eastward movement. However, it was not long before more widespread thunderstorm development across the state, including the necessary moisture and lift needed for some severe weather. Scattered thunderstorms began firing up in the late morning and early afternoon in the Northern, Central, and Front Range Mountains, moving eastward onto the Urban Corridor and becoming more organized. As the afternoon progressed, storms formed in the Western Slopes and Grand Valley as well. There was less available moisture for heavy rainfall west of the divide, but a different story to the east.

An early afternoon severe thunderstorm made its way across the South Denver Metro Area, causing 0.50-1.00 hail reports across a large swatch of the southern suburbs: Lakewood, Littleton, Highlands Ranch, and near Chatfield Reservoir. High winds were also reported – up to 64 mph gusts at KAPA in Centennial. Hail wasn’t just large, there was enough to blanket the ground like snow Littleton!

The Centennial Airport also received 1.62 inches of rain yesterday with most of that, 1.57 inches, falling in a single hour. Precipitation Frequency Estimates from NOAA Atlas 14 in this area put 1.57 inches in an hour to be between a 10-year and 25-year event or 4-10% chance of occurrence in any given year. Other high precipitation totals around the South Denver Metro Area include 1.64 in Highlands Ranch, 1.35 in Littleton, 1.29 in Parker, and 0.97 in Aurora.

The heavy rain and hail caused street flooding across the area, prompting response from South Metro Fire Rescues for vehicles stranded in high water.

The storms quickly moved off the Urban Corridor with eastward movement of the trough axis, forming a line of storms from the northeast corner of the state all the way to Colorado Springs in the afternoon. Fast-moving storms produced heavy rainfall across the Northeast Plains and Palmer Ridge including: 1.95 inches in Burlington, 1.40 inches in Vernon, 1.30 inches in Woodrow, 0.93 inches in Akron, and 0.71 inches south of Greeley.

A second round of thunderstorms on the Southeast Plains prompted three severe thunderstorm warnings for counties on the Colorado-Kansas border overnight. Up to 57 mph wind gusts were reported in Aroya, CO. Storms continued well into the early morning hours before moving eastward out of the state, but not before dropping impressive, and much needed, heavy rain. Rainfall totals in Southeast Colorado include: 1.95 inches in Holly, 1.94 in Timpas, 1.40 in Haswell, 1.33 in Rocky Ford, and 1.00 inch in Lamar. The 1.95 inches in Holly was likely also in just under an hour, with PF estimates placing this event between a 2-year and 5-year rainfall event (20-50% chance in any given year).

Further west, a flash flood warning was issued for the Grizzly Creek burn scar in Glenwood Canyon after 4:00 pm yesterday, which prompted an I-70 safety closure. Up to 0.60 inches of rain fell yesterday in Glenwood Springs and the surrounding area of Glenwood Canyon. Fortunately, no flooding or debris flows were reported and I-70 reopened last night.

For rainfall estimates in your area, check out the State Precipitation Map below.

Click Here For Map Overview

The map below shows radar-estimated, rainfall gage-adjusted Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) across Colorado. The map is updated daily during the operational season (May 1 – Sep 30) by 11AM. The following six layers are currently available: 24-hour, 48-hour and 72-hour total precipitation, as well as maximum 1-hour, 2-hour and 6-hour precipitation over the past 24 hour period (to estimate where flash flooding may have occurred). The accumulation ending time is 7AM of the date shown in the bottom right corner. Also shown optionally are vulnerable fire burn areas (post 2012), which are updated throughout the season to include new, vulnerable burn areas. The home button in the top left corner resets the map to the original zoom.