SPM 08-02-2021: High Flows on Arkansas River, Monsoonal Moisture Plume Moves Westward

Issue Date: Monday, August 2nd, 2021
Issue Time: 9:00 AM MDT

Summary:

The month of August kicked off with some lingering early morning showers in the Southeast Mountains and Raton Ridge, which dissipated in the late morning. By early afternoon, a flash flood warning was issued for the Arkansas River in response to the showers and the heavy rain on Saturday. The Arkansas River at Avondale briefly reached minor flood stage early Sunday morning, when the river stage peaked at 7.3 feet. The river remained high and in an “Action Stage” for most of Sunday, as seen in the hydrograph below. As of this morning, flows all along the Arkansas River and Purgatoire River, a tributary to the Arkansas, are still above normal for this time of year.

Storms dissipated in the Southeast Mountains just as monsoonal storms started to fire off in the Western Slope and Grand Valley, thanks to the plume of monsoonal moisture moving west of Divide. Rainfall totals were not nearly as impressive as storms on Saturday, but several areas received significant rainfall. A CoCoRaHS observer in Hotchkiss in Delta County reported up to 0.86 inches of rain yesterday. The elevated monsoonal moisture in the Northern and Central Mountains provided favorable conditions for firefighting. The Morgan Creek fire benefited from the higher humidity and slow moving storms, which limited fire weather. For estimates of precipitation in your area, please check our State Precipitation Map at the bottom of today’s post.

Flooding was reported on Douglas Pass in the Northwest Slope last night on the Pine Gulch burn scar. Law Enforcement reported water and mud running over Highway 139 due to heavy runoff from the East Salt Creek. Due to the very rural location of this region, there are limited rainfall observations, but a BLM gauge roughly 15 miles northeast of Douglas Pass reported 0.41 inches of rain – all within a 3-hour period.

While no heavy rain or flooding was actually reported on the Grizzly Creek burn scar yesterday, I-70 remains closed due to flash flooding and debris flows in Glenwood Canyon on Saturday. CDOT shared the following pictures on Twitter yesterday, showing the extensive damage to the interstate.

Elsewhere, along the Urban Corridor and Eastern Plains, a cold frontal passage from the north acted to drop temperatures for the day and limited precipitation, but with it came reduced air quality as smoke from fires in the Western US and Canada was advected south into Colorado.

Click Here For Map Overview

The map below shows radar-estimated, rainfall gage-adjusted Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) across Colorado. The map is updated daily during the operational season (May 1 – Sep 30) by 11AM. The following six layers are currently available: 24-hour, 48-hour and 72-hour total precipitation, as well as maximum 1-hour, 2-hour and 6-hour precipitation over the past 24 hour period (to estimate where flash flooding may have occurred). The accumulation ending time is 7AM of the date shown in the bottom right corner. Also shown optionally are vulnerable fire burn areas (post 2012), which are updated throughout the season to include new, vulnerable burn areas. The home button in the top left corner resets the map to the original zoom.