{"id":905,"date":"2015-06-17T10:25:05","date_gmt":"2015-06-17T16:25:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=905"},"modified":"2015-06-18T06:40:31","modified_gmt":"2015-06-18T12:40:31","slug":"ftb-06-17-2015-drying-trend-begins-but-isolated-thunderstorms-not-giving-up-without-a-fight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=905","title":{"rendered":"FTB 06-17-2015: DRYING TREND BEGINS, BUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NOT GIVING UP WITHOUT A FIGHT"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 6\/17\/2015<br>\nIssue Time: 10:16 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FRONT RANGE, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><em>LOW-TO-MODERATE FLOOD THREATS CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE CACHE LA POUDRE, SOUTH PLATTE, AND ARKANSAS RIVERS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Finally, the atmosphere is beginning to dry out as weak, upper-level ridging builds across Colorado and the Southwest US. This will have an impact on overall storm coverage as the downturn that began yesterday continues today. That is not to say that it will be all sunshine; there will be <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers and thunderstorms this afternoon\/evening that develop over the higher terrain and move east-southeastward. Those storms that move\/develop over the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, and the Northeast\/Southeast Plains will have access to sufficient moisture and instability to produce locally heavy rainfall. With the moisture and instability available, a few storms will become strong-to-severe, capable of producing large hail (greater than 1 inch), strong winds (gusts up to 60 mph), and an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> tornado.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/WV_06172015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-904 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/WV_06172015.png\" alt=\"WV_06172015\" width=\"555\" height=\"364\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For areas to the west, ridging aloft and drier air will limit thunderstorm potential, relegating most of the activity to the higher terrain of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span> and San Juan Mountains. Heavy rainfall is not a concern over these areas, as rain rates will generally be in the 0.2-0.4 inches\/hour range, with lighter rates expected out of weaker showers.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/20150617_LFT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-909\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/20150617_LFT.png\" alt=\"20150617_LFT\" width=\"886\" height=\"495\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Southeast Mountains, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, Northeast Plains, and Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening, and a couple will become strong-to-severe. Locally heavy rainfall is still a concern for the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains regions where the best moisture and instability will reside.<\/p>\n<p>Maximum rain rates vary, so check out the following breakdown:<\/p>\n<p>Front Range, Southeast Mountains, and Raton Ridge: 0.5-0.9 inches\/hour<br>\nUrban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains: 1.4-2.0 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 1 PM &ndash; 11 PM, with a few showers and thunderstorms continuing over the Palmer Ridge and plains regions until Midnight &ndash; 1 AM before diminishing\/exiting the state.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Central Mountains, Grand Valley, San Luis Valley, Southwest Slope, and San Juan Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Warmer and drier, especially for the lower elevations of the Grand Valley, San Luis Valley, Northwest Slope, and Southwest Slope regions. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> showers and weak thunderstorms will mainly stay confined over the higher terrain of the Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, and San Juan Mountains where orographic effects can work against the upper-level ridging. Storms will drift east-southeast with time, so a few lower elevations will likely see a few raindrops downstream of the aforementioned mountains.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 8 PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 6\/17\/2015 Issue Time: 10:16 AM A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FRONT RANGE, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE. LOW-TO-MODERATE FLOOD THREATS CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE CACHE LA POUDRE, SOUTH PLATTE, AND ARKANSAS RIVERS. Finally, the atmosphere is beginning to dry out as [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/905"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=905"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/905\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":910,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/905\/revisions\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}