— A LOW<\/strong> flood threat has been issued for the Front Range, Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, Raton Ridge and Southeast Mountains, 416\/Burro burn scar<\/em><\/p>\n Another shortwave<\/span> is rotating its way around the high pressure, which is helping spark some light showers and cloud cover over western Colorado. More dense clouds to the north should limit the amount of instability that can build over the area for this afternoon, so not expecting storms to be as convective. However, still expecting shower coverage to pick up through the early afternoon. Further south over the San Juans, breaks in the high clouds will allow a little more instability to build, which should result in a little higher rain rates and stronger thunderstorms this afternoon. Overall, fairly widespread<\/span>, garden variety showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the over the higher terrains through this evening for western Colorado. With slow steering winds and increased moisture associated with the shortwave<\/span>, the flood threat returns to the 416 and Burro burn areas. A Low flood threat has been issued with threats including mud flows, debris slides and local flash flooding<\/span> of streams for storms that track directly over the burn scars.<\/p>\n Over eastern Colorado, there is some moderate to dense fog over the southwest corner of the state and far eastern plains. This indicates that low-level moisture is still quite high over the area. Southeasterly surface flow today should begin to return moisture further north. Denver’s sounding this morning shows PW<\/span> values at 0.91 inches, which is the 80th<\/sup> percentile for this time of year and quite an increase since last night (0.72 inches). Instability should be able to build throughout the morning and early afternoon and the shortwave<\/span> is expected to arrive over eastern Colorado around peak heating coinciding with the diurnal flow. This should return the chances of showers and thunderstorms to the Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge and Palmer Ridge. Thunderstorms are also expected fire over the Front Range today.<\/p>\n As storms move off of the higher terrains into the adjacent plains this afternoon, they will be moving into an area with dew points<\/span> in the mid to upper 50Fs. With slow steering winds aloft and little shear<\/span>, storms will be pulse-like in nature with outflow boundaries<\/span> helping to trigger additional storm development. Threats today include gusty winds, small hail and heavy rainfall. As the storms move east of I-25, it is likely they will form a mesoscale convective system (MCS<\/span>), which will be capable of producing widespread<\/span>, heavy rainfall overnight. This system will slowly move eastward and exit the state by 1 or 2AM. Slow steering winds and high surface moisture also means there is a flood threat for recent burn scars. All recent burn scars over the eastern mountains should be monitored carefully this afternoon and evening. There has been a Moderate and Low flood threat issued today. Threats include mud flows, debris slides and arroyo flooding over the higher terrains with local stream flooding, field ponding and road flooding threats over the lower terrains.<\/p>\n
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