{"id":7779,"date":"2018-07-27T09:47:16","date_gmt":"2018-07-27T15:47:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=7779"},"modified":"2018-07-28T06:28:38","modified_gmt":"2018-07-28T12:28:38","slug":"ftb-07-27-2018-mother-nature-is-becoming-a-broken-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=7779","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-27-2018: Mother Nature is Becoming a Broken Record"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/27\/2018<br>\nIssue Time: 9:52 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A <strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">MODERATE FLOOD THREAT<\/span><\/strong> IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST SLOPE AND SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.<\/em><br><em>A <strong>LOW FLOOD THREAT<\/strong> IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST SLOPE, SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, NORTHERN MOUNTAINS, FRONT RANGE, SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, RATON RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The upper-level high still sits to the southwest of Colorado, continuing to send a stream of mid-level moisture across our area. This will set the stage for another period of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms across the state. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Precipitable water<\/span> values continue to run above seasonal average, so heavy rainfall will be a threat once again. The strongest storms of the day will occur east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Divide<\/span>, where conditions are favorable for the development of a few severe storms today, especially east of I-25. Large hail, damaging winds, and periods of heavy rainfall will be the main threats, with an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> tornado or two also possible. The good news on the heavy rainfall threat is that storm motions will be quick enough to help mitigate the flood threat, but it will not eliminate it completely. A broad low flood threat is once again in place.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/WV_20180727.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7780 \" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/WV_20180727.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"755\" height=\"508\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>To the west of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Divide<\/span>, an uptick in showers\/thunderstorms as compared to yesterday is expected. Just as for storms east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Divide<\/span>, storm motions will help mitigate the flood threat, but not eliminate it completely. In fact, a moderate flood threat is in place for burn scars of the Southwest Slope and San Juan Mountains regions, due to the combination of antecedent soil moisture, sensitivity of burn scars, and the threat of additional heavy rainfall. For additional information on rain rates and timing, please see the zone-specific forecast discussions below.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/MFT_20180727.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7785\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/MFT_20180727.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"498\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Southeast Mountains, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, and Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms expected today\/tonight, capable of heavy rainfall. A few storms will become severe, producing large hail, damaging winds, and an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> tornado or two. Relatively quick storm motions will limit the flood threat, but not eliminate it completely. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Front Range and Southeast Mountains: 0.6-1.2 inches\/hour<br>\nUrban Corridor, Raton Ridge, and Palmer Ridge: 1.2-1.8 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains and Southeast Plains: 2.0-2.5 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 11 PM for the Front Range and Southeast Mountains, 1 PM &ndash; 1 AM for the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Central Mountains, Grand Valley, San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, and San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms are on tap today\/tonight. Most will be garden-variety, but enough moisture exists for a few storms to produce periods of moderate-to-heavy rainfall, especially over southern mountains. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Southwest Slope, San Juan Mountains, and Central Mountains: 0.8-1.2 inches\/hour<br>\nNorthwest Slope and Grand Valley: 0.25-0.5 inches\/hour<br>\nNorthern Mountains: 0.6-1.0 inches\/hour<br>\nSan Luis Valley: 0.5-1.0 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 11 AM &ndash; 9 PM, with a few lingering showers\/weak thunderstorms until midnight.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/27\/2018 Issue Time: 9:52 AM A MODERATE FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST SLOPE AND SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST SLOPE, SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, NORTHERN MOUNTAINS, FRONT RANGE, SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, RATON RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, AND [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7779"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7779"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7779\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7786,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7779\/revisions\/7786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}