{"id":7222,"date":"2018-06-13T08:09:39","date_gmt":"2018-06-13T14:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=7222"},"modified":"2018-06-14T05:39:26","modified_gmt":"2018-06-14T11:39:26","slug":"ftb-06-13-2018-battle-between-dry-air-and-moist-air","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=7222","title":{"rendered":"FTB 06-13-2018: Battle Between Dry Air and Moist Air"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 6\/13\/2018<br>\nIssue Time: 8:12 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST PLAINS, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Colorado is ground-zero for a battle between dry air and moist air, both in the mid-levels and at the surface. Shown in the water vapor imagery below is the mid-level battle, where moist air from the south is attempting to nudge northward into western Colorado. This moist air will make a valiant effort, pushing north towards I-70 over the High Country and Western Slope. This moisture will be sufficient enough to produce <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, high-based showers\/thunderstorms over southern and central portions of the High Country, producing very little rain (if any), with plenty of lightning and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span> painting the sky.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/WV_20180613.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7223\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/WV_20180613.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"625\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The battle in the low-levels will take place east of the mountains, where east-southeasterly flow has pushed moisture rich low-level air into eastern Colorado. Dry air from the west will try to scour this moisture, with a dry line setting up along, or just east of, the foothills. The moisture, combined with daytime heating, will be enough to produce <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> thunderstorms, with the best coverage and intensity occurring east of I-25. A couple of the storms will become severe, with the potential to produce hail up to 1.5-2 inches in diameter and strong winds greater than 55 mph.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/LFT_20180613.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7230\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/LFT_20180613.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"497\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, and Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> thunderstorms will rumble today\/tonight. Without a &ldquo;trigger&rdquo; in the mid-\/upper-levels, it will be up to low-level convergence and daytime heating to produce adequate forcing for thunderstorm development. With south-southeasterly winds at the surface, the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Denver Cyclone&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A subset of the Denver Convergence Vorticity Zone (DCVZ) in which the feature takes on a low-level cyclonic circulation, rather than an elongated area of convergent winds.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Denver cyclone<\/span> is expected to aid thunderstorm development, likely kicking off a couple thunderstorms in the vicinity of the Denver metro area. Most storms will struggle to produce heavy rain thanks to dry air in the mid-levels zapping some of the potential, but hail clogging drainage and brief periods of heavy rainfall will likely produce a couple instances of street\/field ponding in poorly drained areas. This is the culprit behind the low flood threat. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Front Range: 0.05-0.25 inches\/hour<br>\nUrban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, and Raton Ridge: 0.5-1.0 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains and Southeast Plains: 1.0-1.5 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 2 PM &ndash; 11 PM, with a couple lingering thunderstorms over the Northeast and Southeast Plains until 2 AM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Central Mountains, Grand Valley, San Juan Mountains, Southeast Mountains, San Luis Valley, and Southwest Slope:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Dry and hot will be the main weather story today, with only a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, high-based thunderstorms rumbling during the afternoon and evening hours south of I-70 where mid-level moisture from the south can have an impact. Dry air in the low-levels will keep rain rates low, so no <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span> is expected. Maximum rain rates will be 0.05-0.10 inches\/hour. North of I-70, expect dry conditions and mostly sunny skies to rule the day.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 1 PM &ndash; Midnight<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 6\/13\/2018 Issue Time: 8:12 AM A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST PLAINS, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS. Colorado is ground-zero for a battle between dry air and moist air, both in the mid-levels and at the surface. Shown in the water vapor imagery below is [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7222"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7222"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7222\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7231,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7222\/revisions\/7231"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}