{"id":7026,"date":"2018-05-29T09:57:27","date_gmt":"2018-05-29T15:57:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=7026"},"modified":"2018-05-29T09:57:27","modified_gmt":"2018-05-29T15:57:27","slug":"ftb-05-29-2018-isolated-showers-and-thunderstorms-as-the-upper-wave-continues-to-track-northeast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=7026","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-29-2018: Isolated Showers and Thunderstorms as the Upper Wave Continues to Track Northeast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 29, 2018<br>\nIssue Time: 10:00AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is <strong>NOT<\/strong> expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The upper wave marked in the water vapor imagery below will slowly track to the northeast throughout the day, which will put us under northwestly flow for most of the day. This should allow enough low-level moisture to hang on for another round of garden variety showers and thunderstorms over northern Colorado and the eastern plains. High temperatures will be down a bit as well over northeastern Colorado. Tonight and tomorrow the flow will gain more of a westerly component as the open wave moves out of Wyoming. This will begin drying out the atmosphere for the rest of the week and limit Colorado&rsquo;s chances for afternoon rain.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Precipitable Water<\/span> (<span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span>) this morning at Denver was measured at 0.56 inches, which is quite a bit lower than yesterday. This means the drying process has begun and thunderstorms today will produce lighter rainfall rates and stronger winds. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Grand Junction is around the same with fairly decent moist mid-level moisture. Despite the decrease in moisture, <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> should be high enough to support <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> thunderstorms and showers this afternoon and evening over the northern high terrains and Northwest Slope.<\/p>\n<p>The diurnal heating pattern and upper low should help trigger thunderstorms over the mountains just after noon. Coverage in the mountains will be greatest over the Northern Front Range and Northern Mountains, but more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms will also fire further south. Small hail may occur, but limited instability should keep this around pea size. Over the eastern plains and Palmer Ridge, a dry line is expected to spark thunderstorm development later this afternoon. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;numerous&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;40-60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Numerous<\/span> <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow boundaries&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A surface boundary formed by the horizontal spreading of thunderstorm-cooled air. Outflow boundaries may intersect with each other or with other features (fronts, dry line, low-level jet) and initiate new convection. Brief strong winds are possible with outflow boundaries, and they can also persist for more than 24 hours.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow boundaries<\/span> from yesterday could also spin up a few thunderstorms. Higher <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> will increase rainfall amounts, but storm motion will be about 15-20 knots. This should limit heavy rainfall over any area. Thus, there is no flooding expected today. Without any upper support, storms will quickly fizzle out after sundown as instability rapidly decreases.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/wv_20180529.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7027\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/wv_20180529.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"346\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/no_threat.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6157\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/no_threat.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"580\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Palmer Ridge, Front Range, Urban Corridor, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, Northwest Slope: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>More <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> thunderstorms are expected over the northern high terrains and Northwest Slope this afternoon. More <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> thunderstorms and showers for the Central Mountains and southern Front Range. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.3 inches (north) and 0.15 inches (south) are possible. &nbsp;Out over the eastern plains, more moisture could cause max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.1 inches. Decent storm motion and lack of high moisture should limit the flooding potential. Threats for stronger storms include hail up to 1.25 inches and wind gusts of 50 mph. Flooding is not expected today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM &ndash; 8PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>San Luis Valley, San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge, Grand Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>More <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers and thunderstorms are expected over southern and western Colorado. Rain rates over the Southeast\/San Juan Mountains and Raton Ridge should be under 0.1 inches\/hour. Expect more afternoon clouds over the higher terrains than rainfall. Should be sunny, beautiful day elsewhere. There is no flood threat today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 2PM &ndash; 8PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 29, 2018 Issue Time: 10:00AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is NOT expected today The upper wave marked in the water vapor imagery below will slowly track to the northeast throughout the day, which will put us under northwestly flow for most of the day. This should allow enough low-level moisture to hang [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7026"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7026"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7026\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7028,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7026\/revisions\/7028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7026"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7026"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7026"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}