{"id":5926,"date":"2017-08-13T10:32:45","date_gmt":"2017-08-13T16:32:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=5926"},"modified":"2017-08-14T07:54:46","modified_gmt":"2017-08-14T13:54:46","slug":"ftb-08-13-2017-heavy-rain-and-severe-weather-for-southeast-plains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=5926","title":{"rendered":"FTB 08-13-2017: Heavy Rain and Severe Weather for Southeast Plains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, August 13, 2017<br>\nIssue Time: 10:30AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>&mdash;LOW<\/em><\/strong><em> flood threat Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Less low-level clouds over Colorado again this morning making for a pleasant start to the day. A <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> located over the Pacific NW continues to release multiple mid-level waves through Colorado along the 500mb flow. Another wave is expected this afternoon over southern Colorado that will enhance daily thunderstorm activity over the southern Front Range and Southeast Mountains. A weak 500mb ridge will build over Wyoming today and the associated W\/NW mid-level flow will continue to steer storm motion to the E\/SE as the thunderstorms move into the adjacent plains. At the surface, a lee <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> is expected to set up over and with this boundary, low-level moisture is expected to increase to the east, while the west remains drier. The best instability and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;shear&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Local variation of the wind, either in the horizontal or vertical direction.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>shear<\/span> will also be over the Southeast Plains this afternoon and evening, which could help produce gusty winds and hail on top of heavy, local rainfall.&nbsp;Some storms are expected to move into the Northeast Plains that form over the Cheyenne Ridge. Higher moisture with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> in the mid-50s to 60F, may support 1-hour rain rates up to 1.8 inches and severe storms will also have large hail and gusty winds.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/wv-8-13-2017.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5927\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/wv-8-13-2017.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"425\" height=\"314\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Diurnal heating patterns will allow <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms to begin to form over the higher terrain after 1PM. Drier air should limit coverage over the San Juan Mountains and a mid-level wave will enhance storms that form along the Southeast Mountains. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;downsloping&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Refers to the winds that blow from higher elevations down towards lower elevations. As air parcels descend, they warm, which often results in rapid warming of areas near the higher terrains. It also promotes lower relative humidity values and stability, which prevents thunderstorm development.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Downsloping<\/span> winds associated with the lee <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> will limit thunderstorm formation over the Front Range. Storms that do form over the mountains will have lower atmospheric moisture and will produce gusty winds rather than heavy rainfall. As the storms move off the eastern mountains in the afternoon, they will favor the higher moisture and terrains on the Palmer and Raton Ridge. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorms&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Severe thunderstorms<\/span> are possible with winds up to 60mph and 2 inch hail as the storms move east into the plains. A cluster of storms form in the evening and moves SE exiting the state around midnight. With elevated flows along the Arkansas River basin and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> precipitation, the Low flood threat will include the Arkansas River from La Junta to the Kansas border for minor flooding.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the map.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/FTB-8-13-2017-old.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-5937\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/FTB-8-13-2017-old.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"498\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge, Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mostly sunny this morning becoming partly cloudy this afternoon. &nbsp;Some severe storms are possible today over the eastern plains with the main threats being damaging winds and large hail (2 in) as well as arroyo, field, road flooding. Max 1-hour rainfall up to 2.5 inches (east), 0.8 inches (west). Minor riverine flooding along the Arkansas River may be possible from La Junta to the Kansas border along more narrow portions of the river. A Low flood threat has been issued today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 2PM to 12AM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, Southwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, San Juan Mountains, San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Sunny this morning with more showers over the Northern and central Mountains. Max 1-hr rainfall up to 0.7 inches with storm totals up to 1 inch. There is a no flood threat for today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 8PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, August 13, 2017 Issue Time: 10:30AM MDT &mdash;LOW flood threat Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains Less low-level clouds over Colorado again this morning making for a pleasant start to the day. A <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> located over the Pacific NW continues to release multiple mid-level waves through Colorado along the 500mb flow. Another [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5926"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5926"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5938,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5926\/revisions\/5938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}