{"id":3870,"date":"2016-09-17T09:04:56","date_gmt":"2016-09-17T15:04:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3870"},"modified":"2016-09-17T09:05:07","modified_gmt":"2016-09-17T15:05:07","slug":"ftb-09-17-2016-a-tale-of-two-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3870","title":{"rendered":"FTB 09-17-2016: A Tale of Two Forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"

Issue Date: 9\/17\/2016
\nIssue Time: 9:05 AM<\/p>\n

A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AND RATON RIDGE.<\/em><\/p>\n

Roughly speaking, if you split the state with a southwest-to-northeast oriented line from Alamosa to Sterling, you could break down the forecast fairly well. To the west of the line, the forecast is for mainly dry conditions, aside from a few isolated<\/span> showers over\/near the higher terrain of the Front Range\/Continental Divide<\/span>\/San Juan Mountains. On the other hand, along\/east of the line will feature scattered<\/span> strong-to-severe thunderstorms<\/span>, capable of large hail, damaging winds, and even an isolated<\/span> tornado or two. Specifically, this includes portions of the following regions: Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, Raton Ridge, and Southeast Mountains.<\/p>\n

\"ipw_20160917\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Even with the strong-to-severe thunderstorms<\/span> expected, the flood threat remains low-end. This is due to a combination of expected storm motions and marginal moisture profiles (inverted-V<\/span>). Better moisture is expected to be transported in from the southeast and into the Southeast Plains and Raton Ridge regions, thus the issuance of the low flood threat in those regions. For more details on timing and expected rain rates, please see the zone-specific forecast discussions below.<\/p>\n

Today’s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n

For more information on today’s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n