{"id":376,"date":"2015-05-12T10:12:54","date_gmt":"2015-05-12T16:12:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=376"},"modified":"2015-05-13T10:16:10","modified_gmt":"2015-05-13T16:16:10","slug":"ftb-05-12-2015-upper-level-ridge-moves-east-isolated-to-scattered-showersthunderstorms-return","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=376","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-12-2015: Upper-Level Ridge Moves East, Isolated-to-Scattered Showers\/Thunderstorms Return"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 5\/12\/2015<br>\nIssue Time: 10:05 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A MODERATE FLOOD THREAT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CACHE LA POUDRE\/SOUTH PLATTE RIVER FROM GREELEY THROUGH JULESBURG, AND FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER FROM PUEBLO THROUGH LA JUNTA.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Showers and thunderstorms will make a return to parts of Colorado as the upper-level ridge shifts eastward. Take a look at the black-dashed line on the water vapor imagery below (represents the ridge axis). To the right of the axis, northwest flow aloft, and to the left, southwest flow. Southwest flow aloft means a bit more moisture will be present in the mid- and upper-levels, providing some fuel for <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly over the higher terrain (a couple of showers continuing overnight). The best chance of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms will be over the San Juan Mountains and Central Mountains, with storms being more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> across the Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Southwest Slope, Grand Valley, San Luis Valley, Front Range, and Southeast Mountains. Additionally, a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms will work over the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains during the afternoon and evening hours.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/WV_050120151.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-375 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/WV_050120151.png\" alt=\"WV_05012015\" width=\"625\" height=\"456\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Moisture will not be deep enough to cause flooding concerns from thunderstorm rainfall today with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>precipitable water<\/span> values near, or below, 0.5 inches. Additionally, most of the moisture is contained to the mid- and upper-levels of the atmosphere, while the low-levels remain fairly dry. This all equals a day where the strongest thunderstorms will produce more gusty winds than rain.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/FTB_snapshot_20150513.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-382\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/FTB_snapshot_20150513.png\" alt=\"FTB_snapshot_20150513\" width=\"859\" height=\"485\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mostly cloudy for the Urban Corridor and Palmer Ridge, and mostly sunny for the Northeast and Southeast Plains. A few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms will move off of the higher terrain this afternoon, moving in a southwest-to-northeast direction. Max rain rates will be in the 0.4-0.8 inches\/hour range, but drier air in the low-levels will work against that, making the actual rain rates at the surface more likely 0.3-0.5 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Timing of storms: 2 PM &ndash; 10 PM, with one or two showers continuing until midnight.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Central Mountains and San Juan Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms expected today, beginning between 11 AM and Noon, and continuing until 10 PM, with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers continuing through the night and into tomorrow morning. Thunderstorms will result more in gusty winds than rain. Max rain rates will be in the 0.5-0.8 inch\/hour range, but as is the case for the region above, drier air in the lower-levels will work against that, likely resulting in rain rates near 0.4-0.6 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Southwest Slope, Southeast Mountains and Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> showers and thunderstorms will begin around Noon, and continue through the afternoon and evening hours. Storms will diminish from north to south this evening, with southern mountain locations experiencing <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers into tomorrow morning. Rain rates will be in the 0.25-0.45 inches\/hour range.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Grand Valley and San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> showers and thunderstorms will drift off of the surrounding higher terrain and over the valleys this afternoon and evening, producing mainly gusty winds and light rain.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; Midnight for the Grand Valley, Noon &ndash; 6 AM for the San Luis Valley<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 5\/12\/2015 Issue Time: 10:05 AM A MODERATE FLOOD THREAT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CACHE LA POUDRE\/SOUTH PLATTE RIVER FROM GREELEY THROUGH JULESBURG, AND FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER FROM PUEBLO THROUGH LA JUNTA. Showers and thunderstorms will make a return to parts of Colorado as the upper-level ridge shifts eastward. Take a look [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/376"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=376"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/376\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":394,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/376\/revisions\/394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=376"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=376"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=376"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}