{"id":3685,"date":"2016-09-02T10:32:50","date_gmt":"2016-09-02T16:32:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3685"},"modified":"2016-09-03T10:00:14","modified_gmt":"2016-09-03T16:00:14","slug":"ftb-09-02-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3685","title":{"rendered":"FTB 09-02-2016: Heavy Rainfall + Severe Weather Possible Out East"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 2nd, 2016<br>\nIssue Time: 10:30AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; <strong>MODERATE<\/strong> flood threat for Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge and Southeast Plains<\/em><br><em> &mdash; <strong>LOW<\/strong> flood threat for Raton Ridge<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A weather pattern change started for Colorado on Thursday as a large-scale upper <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> began to impact the western part of the state. As the water vapor image shows, below, a disturbance emanating from this <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> is currently positioned along the UT\/CO border and will rapidly move through the state today. This disturbance is a bit stronger than even yesterday afternoon&rsquo;s weather models suggested. Plenty of cloud cover is in place this morning, along with light to moderate showers mainly across the northern and western parts of the state. Cloud-free skies are found in the south and southeast and temperatures will rapidly climb to the 80s to near 90F. Moisture is in abundance today with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>precipitable water<\/span> (<span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span>) values at or above 1 inch east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span> and in the 0.7 to 0.9 inch range to the west. As the disturbance moves east, moisture return will boost PWs as high as 1.5 inches across eastern Colorado. With plenty of instability available, expect a round or two of strong-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorms&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorms<\/span> over the eastern Plains. Very heavy rainfall will possible, though the overall threat is mitigated by the fast storm motion. Nonetheless, a Moderate flood threat is warranted for parts of eastern Colorado. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> showers and a weaker storm will occur across the western slope but lower instability and unfavorable dynamics mean that a flood threat is not warranted here.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/wv_markup2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3688\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/wv_markup2.png\" alt=\"wv_markup\" width=\"629\" height=\"430\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the map.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/FTB_20160902.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-3700\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/FTB_20160902.png\" alt=\"FTB_20160902\" width=\"890\" height=\"501\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> thunderstorms and showers developing by 1PM. Max 1-hr rain rates up to 2.8 inches, with max 3-hr rates up to 3.8 inches. A Moderate flood threat is in place for parts of the region, with a Low threat surrounding that. Large hail, up to 1.75 inches and winds up to 75 mph will possible with the strongest cells. Storms will move quickly east\/southeast, and dissipate within a few hours after sunset.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 9PM except 11PM in far eastern areas<\/p>\n<p><strong>San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, Grand Valley, Central Mountains, San Luis Valley, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mostly cloudy with showers and a few thunderstorms increasing in coverage through the late morning and early afternoon. Max 1-hr rainfall up to 0.5 inches with max 24-hour totals up to 1.1 inches possible over the higher terrain of the Northern and Central Mountains. Snow level will be 12,500 feet.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Noon to 8PM<\/p>\n<p><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Southeast Mountains:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mostly cloudy with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers early transition to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> thunderstorms by early afternoon. Max 1-hr rainfall up to 0.7 inches possible. Hail up to 0.75 inches and winds up to 50 mph are possible with the strongest storms. Flooding is not expected today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 7PM<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 2nd, 2016 Issue Time: 10:30AM MDT &mdash; MODERATE flood threat for Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge and Southeast Plains &mdash; LOW flood threat for Raton Ridge A weather pattern change started for Colorado on Thursday as a large-scale upper <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> began to impact the western part of the state. As the water [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3685"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3685"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3685\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3702,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3685\/revisions\/3702"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}