{"id":3638,"date":"2016-08-30T10:50:41","date_gmt":"2016-08-30T16:50:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3638"},"modified":"2016-08-31T08:45:24","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T14:45:24","slug":"ftb-08-30-2016-more-heavy-rainfall-possible-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3638","title":{"rendered":"FTB 08-30-2016: More Heavy Rainfall Possible Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, August 30th, 2016<br>\nIssue Time: 10:45AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; <strong>MODERATE<\/strong> flood threat for Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Urban Corridor<\/em><br><em> &mdash; <strong>LOW<\/strong> flood threat for Front Range, Southeast Plains, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The morning water vapor image, shown below, shows the key factors in a somewhat challenging forecast today. While most of the western US is under the influence of a weak upper-level ridge, the disturbance that has affected Colorado for the past 48 hours remains centered over the western part of the state. Despite slowly losing strength today, it will continue to be a factor by favoring weak upward motion east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span>. Low-level moisture has increased over the eastern part of the state with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>precipitable water<\/span> values running in the 0.9 &ndash; 1.2 inch range. High surface dewpoints, up to 63F, can be found this morning along the KS border. Sunshine is in abundance this morning for almost all. Collectively, it will not be a problem to generate <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall for many areas east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Divide<\/span>, especially in the Northeast Plains. A Low flood threat has been posted to account for this. The more uncertain aspect is centered around a plume of very moist low-level air that is forecasted to move westward into CO a few hours before sunset. With a relatively deep easterly flow, about 10,000 feet high, this could spark off an additional round of slow-moving storms capable of very heavy rainfall rates. Although this is not guaranteed, the severity of the rainfall rates warrants a Moderate flood threat for parts of northeast CO. High antecedent rainfall will also be a contributing factor for western areas of the Moderate threat region.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/wv_markup9.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-3642\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/wv_markup9.png\" alt=\"wv_markup\" width=\"535\" height=\"389\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the map.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/FTB_201608301.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-3653\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/FTB_201608301.png\" alt=\"FTB_20160830\" width=\"892\" height=\"503\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Raton Ridge, Southeast Plains, Southeast Mountains:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sunny early then <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> thunderstorms developing by early afternoon. Coverage will be highest in the foothills as well as the Northeast Plains. Max 30-minute rainfall up to 1.1 inches is possible, with max 1-hr rates up to 2.1 inches. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span>, debris slides and mud flows are possible, especially in areas that have received previous rainfall. Hail up to 0.75 inches is possible under the strongest cells. A secondary flare up of storms is possible in the late evening hours, warranted a Moderate flood threat for parts of the region. Otherwise, a Low flood threat is in place.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 2PM to 2AM<\/p>\n<p><strong>San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mostly sunny this morning then <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to showers and thunderstorms developing by early afternoon. Coverage will be highest in the San Juans. Max 1-hr rain rates up to 0.6 inches possible. Hail up to 0.5 inches could accompany the strongest cells. Graupel is possible above 12,500 feet. Flooding is not expected today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 12PM to 7:30PM<\/p>\n<p><strong>San Luis Valley, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, Grand Valley:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mostly sunny early then <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers and a weak storm possible through the early evening hours. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.3 inches. Flooding is not expected today.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, August 30th, 2016 Issue Time: 10:45AM MDT &mdash; MODERATE flood threat for Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Urban Corridor &mdash; LOW flood threat for Front Range, Southeast Plains, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge The morning water vapor image, shown below, shows the key factors in a somewhat challenging forecast today. While most of the [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3638"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3638"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3638\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3654,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3638\/revisions\/3654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}