{"id":3393,"date":"2016-08-10T09:41:42","date_gmt":"2016-08-10T15:41:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3393"},"modified":"2016-08-10T09:41:54","modified_gmt":"2016-08-10T15:41:54","slug":"ftb-08-10-2016-mountains-most-active-isolated-across-the-lower-elevations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3393","title":{"rendered":"FTB 08-10-2016: Mountains Most Active, Isolated Across the Lower Elevations"},"content":{"rendered":"

Issue Date: 8\/10\/2016
\nIssue Time: 9:37 AM<\/p>\n

NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST.<\/em><\/p>\n

Current water vapor analysis shows that the upper-level low has not moved much from yesterday’s position, sliding northeast ever so slightly. This has kept Colorado under generally southwest flow aloft, and precipitable water<\/span> has remained nearly steady from yesterday’s values. More specifically, this morning’s soundings from both Grand Junction (0.76”) and Denver (0.65”) show precipitable water<\/span> values hovering near average for the date. Additionally, the soundings show an inverted-V<\/span> profile, indicating that the main threat from most of today’s storms will be gusty winds and lightning, with light-to-moderate rainfall.<\/p>\n

\"WV_20160810\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The eastern plains (east of I-25) and portions of southwest Colorado will be exceptions to the rule today, for two different reasons:<\/p>\n

– The plains have better low-level moisture than areas to the west, thanks to being on the eastern side of a lee trough<\/span>. Dewpoints range in the 50s to low 60s, which will be enough fuel for brief periods of heavy rainfall.<\/p>\n

– For Southwest Colorado, a better moisture influx from the south will keep IPW values near the 1 inch mark, signalling fuel for efficient rainfall.<\/p>\n

For both areas, storm motions and a lack of strong forcing will keep rain rates below flood threat levels, thus not flood threat is warranted. Areas of southwest Colorado that have received heavy rain over the past week or so will still need to be monitored for potential mud\/debris\/rock slide issues should a stronger thunderstorm, relatively speaking, move overhead.<\/p>\n

Today’s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n

For more information on today’s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n