{"id":327,"date":"2015-05-09T10:16:03","date_gmt":"2015-05-09T16:16:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=327"},"modified":"2015-05-10T10:19:44","modified_gmt":"2015-05-10T16:19:44","slug":"ftb-05-09-2015-yes-mother-two-years-in-a-row","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=327","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-09-2015: Yes, Mother, Two Years In A Row"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: May 9th, 2015<br>\nIssue Time: 10:10AM<br><em><br>\n&mdash; HIGH flood threat for parts of Palmer Ridge<br>\n&mdash; MODERATE flood threat for Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, most of Northeast Plains and parts of Southeast Plains<br>\n&mdash; LOW flood threat for Raton Ridge, parts of Southeast Plains and Northeast Plains<br><\/em><\/p>\n<p>The Mother&rsquo;s Day weekend storm of 2015 is aimed directly at Colorado. What that means for today&rsquo;s weather is a little bit of everything: heavy snowfall, high and persistent rainfall intensities and severe weather in the Southeast Plains where temperatures could soar into the upper 60s by late afternoon. The water vapor image below captures the main features of the state of the atmosphere. A partially <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;cut-off low&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;an upper-level low pressure system that has been &amp;quot;cut off&rdquo; from the prevailing winds that steer weather systems; cut-off lows typically become stationary or move very slowly, bringing prolonged periods of unsettled weather&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>cut-off low<\/span> continues to march east-northeastward and is now located over the Four Corners region. An impressive disturbance is currently noted in eastern Colorado and clearly seen on the water vapor. This disturbance is accompanied by good low-level moisture convergence and is currently producing rain rates up to 1 inch per hour in Northeast Colorado. Across and west of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span>, the atmosphere has substantially cooled as the low-pressure draws near. The San Juan mountains are already seeing heavy snow, with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> thunderstorms reported.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/watervapor_20150509.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-328\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/watervapor_20150509.png\" alt=\"watervapor_20150509\" width=\"862\" height=\"485\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Regarding today&rsquo;s forecast, rain and snow showers and thunderstorms will continue across most the state. Hourly rain rates will average around 0.5 inches, except in <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> heavy cells where 1.0 inch per hour rates are possible. Total 24-hour rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches will be <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> across Eastern Colorado, with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> amounts up to 4 inches possible. In the San Juans, Central and Northern mountains, heavy snow will cause travel problems over the higher passes, where snowfall rates up to 1.5 to 2 inches an hour are likely.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, clouds are breaking along the New Mexico border, which will allow the May sun to quickly heat the atmosphere into the 60s and possibly 70F. As the upper-atmosphere cools, the combination of instability, high moisture content, good directional and speed <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;shear&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Local variation of the wind, either in the horizontal or vertical direction.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>shear<\/span> may produce an outbreak of severe weather in the Southeast Plains. Large hail up to 2 inches, very strong winds up to 80 mph and tornadoes are all possible in the strongest of storms. The storms will race to the north around 50 mph, which will help to limit hourly rain rates to about 1.7 inches per hour. This may cause <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span>. The Prime Time for the severe weather is between 1PM and 8PM this evening.<\/p>\n<p>We encourage everyone to pay attention to National Weather Service watches and warnings for heavy snowfall, flooding and severe weather updates throughout this active weather day.<\/p>\n<p>Please see below for area-specific flood threat and forecasts (click on &ldquo;About the FTB&rdquo; link above to view Colorado region names).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/FTB_snapshot_20150509.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-341\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/FTB_snapshot_20150509.png\" alt=\"FTB_snapshot_20150509\" width=\"870\" height=\"491\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Front Range, Northeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Showers and thunderstorms continuing throughout the day and into the late evening. An <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> strong storm is possible with some small hail. Rainfall rates of 0.5 inches per hour will be common, though stronger storms may produce rates up to 1 inch per hour. A Moderate flood threat has been posted for parts of the area due to saturated soils and high stream levels.<\/p>\n<p>Prime time: 11AM through 10PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, Raton Ridge and Southeast Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers and storms this morning, redeveloping and strengthening in the afternoon, lasting into the late evening hours. Strong to severe storms will be likley from the afternoon through the late evening hours. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> rainfall rates up to 1.7 inches per hour are possible, accompanied by localized <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span>. Large hail up to 2 inches, strong winds up to 80 mph and tornadoes are all possible with stronger storms. A High Flood threat is in place from Colorado Springs through Pueblo. Moderate and Low flood threats are also in place due to saturated soils.<\/p>\n<p>Prime time: 1PM through 10PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Central Mountains, San Juan Mountains, San Luis Valley and Southwest Slope, Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, and Northern Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<h4>Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through the morning slowly transitioning to snow showers above 9,000 feet. Small hail is possible in the stronger thunderstorms. Snow levels will drop throughout the day to about 6,000-7,000 feet by this evening. Rainfall rates up to 0.6 inches will be possible before the rain turns to snow. No flooding is expected due to the transition to snow, thus slowing and limiting the runoff.<\/h4>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: May 9th, 2015 Issue Time: 10:10AM &mdash; HIGH flood threat for parts of Palmer Ridge &mdash; MODERATE flood threat for Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, most of Northeast Plains and parts of Southeast Plains &mdash; LOW flood threat for Raton Ridge, parts of Southeast Plains and Northeast Plains The Mother&rsquo;s Day weekend storm of [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=327"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":343,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/327\/revisions\/343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}