{"id":3250,"date":"2016-07-29T10:11:11","date_gmt":"2016-07-29T16:11:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3250"},"modified":"2016-07-30T06:12:23","modified_gmt":"2016-07-30T12:12:23","slug":"ftb-07-29-2016-another-round-of-thunderstorms-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3250","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-29-2016: Another Round of Thunderstorms Expected"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/29\/2016<br>\nIssue Time: 10:08 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Northwest flow aloft will continue across Colorado today, as shown by the black line\/arrows in the water vapor image below. Embedded within the northwest flow is a mid-level disturbance (yellow line), which will serve as a trigger for another afternoon and evening of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widely scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;10-25% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widely scattered<\/span> thunderstorms along and east of the Front Range\/Southeast Mountains. The support provided by the disturbance is fairly weak, so the number of storms will be less than yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>Low-level moisture is good to the east of the mountains, where <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> dewpoints in the 50s and low 60s can be found. This amount of moisture combined with sufficient daytime heating will keep a low flood threat in the forecast. A few strong\/severe storms are likely, especially along the Front Range and Urban Corridor where terrain influences will enhance the local storm environment. The main threats from these storms will be large hail, gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall. Rain rates will be mentioned in the zone-specific discussions.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/WV_20160729.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-3251 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/WV_20160729.png\" alt=\"WV_20160729\" width=\"499\" height=\"376\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>West of the Front Range\/Southeast Mountains, drier air will result in very few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms, if any at all. The water vapor image above shows the drier air overtop Colorado, especially as compared to the moist plumes (brighter white colors) over Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. Low-level moisture is of utmost importance to storms in this type of environment, and there just isn&rsquo;t much to be found west of the Front Range\/Southeast Mountains. Overall, the locations with the best chance to see an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, high-based shower\/storm or two are the higher terrain of the Central Mountains, Southwest Slope, and San Juan Mountains. The main impact will be gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds, lightning, and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span>, with very little rainfall reaching the surface.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/20160729_LFT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/20160729_LFT.png\" alt=\"20160729_LFT\" width=\"887\" height=\"497\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3253\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Southeast Mountains, Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, and Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening, with a couple continuing over the Northeast Plains and Southeast Plains until around midnight or so. Due to cooling provided by yesterday&rsquo;s thunderstorms, activity will likely be delayed until the mid-afternoon, waiting on the disturbance and ample daytime heating able to break through the mid-level <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;cap&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The area where a parcel of air has negative buoyancy or sinks. The intensity of the cap is measured by its convective inhibition. If the cap is sufficiently large, it may prevent thunderstorms from forming at all.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>cap<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>The first storms of the day will go up over the Front Range\/Southeast Mountains, generally moving to the east-southeast across the lower elevations with the mean flow. A couple of the storms will be strong\/severe, producing large hail, gusty winds, lightning, and locally heavy rainfall. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Front Range and Southeast Mountains: 0.6-0.8 inches\/hour<br>\nUrban Corridor and Palmer Ridge: 1.5-2.0 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains and Southeast Plains: 1.5-2.5 inches\/hour<br>\nRaton Ridge: 0.8-1.2 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 11 PM for the mountains, 2 PM &ndash; Midnight for the Urban Corridor, 3 PM &ndash; 3 AM for the Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains, and 1 PM &ndash; 10 PM for the Raton Ridge<\/p>\n<h4><strong>San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, San Luis Valley, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, and Grand Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mostly sunny and hot will be the main weather story today, minus a couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, high-based showers\/thunderstorms over the higher terrain. Very little rainfall, if any, will reach the surface, so gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds and lightning will be the main threats.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 10 PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/29\/2016 Issue Time: 10:08 AM A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE. Northwest flow aloft will continue across Colorado today, as shown by the black line\/arrows in the water vapor image below. Embedded within the northwest flow is [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3250"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3250"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3254,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3250\/revisions\/3254"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}