{"id":3094,"date":"2016-07-15T09:22:57","date_gmt":"2016-07-15T15:22:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3094"},"modified":"2016-07-16T08:42:30","modified_gmt":"2016-07-16T14:42:30","slug":"ftb-07-15-2016-another-active-day-in-store-for-eastern-colorado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3094","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-15-2016: Another Active Day in Store for Eastern Colorado"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/15\/2016<br>\nIssue Time: 9:20 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FRONT RANGE, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>It will be another active day across eastern Colorado, with the threat of strong\/severe storms the main story. Dewpoints remain in the 50s and 60s across much of the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, and Raton Ridge regions, which will leave plenty of fuel for this period&rsquo;s thunderstorm activity. A reinforcing shot of moisture will come from the east\/northeast this morning\/early afternoon in the form of an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow boundary&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A surface boundary formed by the horizontal spreading of thunderstorm-cooled air. Outflow boundaries may intersect with each other or with other features (fronts, dry line, low-level jet) and initiate new convection. Brief strong winds are possible with outflow boundaries, and they can also persist for more than 24 hours.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow boundary<\/span> from storms over Nebraska and Kansas. This moisture, combined with strong daytime heating, ample <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;wind shear&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Local variation of the wind, either in the horizontal or vertical direction.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>wind shear<\/span>, steep mid-level lapse rates, and a mid-level disturbance will provide the support for strong\/<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorms&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorms<\/span> capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, periods of heavy rain, and an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> tornado or two.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/Sfc_20160715.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-3095 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/Sfc_20160715.png\" alt=\"Sfc_20160715\" width=\"436\" height=\"436\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There will be a few more thunderstorms over the higher terrain, and further westward than previous days. The Front Range and Southeast Mountains will experience a similar day to yesterday, albeit with slightly more coverage expected. The San Juan Mountains, Northern Mountains, and Central Mountains will get in on <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> high-based showers\/thunderstorms, but will receive very little rainfall. In general, any storm activity over these regions will produce mainly gusty winds and lightning, and perhaps a sprinkle or two. Further west, the fire danger is elevated, once again, as dry air, dry fuels, and gusty winds combine forces. For more information regarding rain rates and timing, please see the zone-specific forecast discussions below.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h3>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/FTB_20160716.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-3099\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/FTB_20160716.png\" alt=\"FTB_20160716\" width=\"895\" height=\"563\"\/><\/a> <strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, Northeast Plains, and Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms expected, and a few will be strong\/severe. The main threats from any strong\/<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorms&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorms<\/span> will be large hail (up to 2.0 inches in diameter), strong winds (up to 60 mph), periods of heavy rain, and an <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> tornado or two. The most likely location for the stronger storms to develop will be over the Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, and Southeast Plains regions. If <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow boundaries&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A surface boundary formed by the horizontal spreading of thunderstorm-cooled air. Outflow boundaries may intersect with each other or with other features (fronts, dry line, low-level jet) and initiate new convection. Brief strong winds are possible with outflow boundaries, and they can also persist for more than 24 hours.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow boundaries<\/span> can push far enough westward into the Urban Corridor, reinforcing deep moisture and easterly low-level flow, the threat for strong\/severe storms will increase along the I-25 corridor. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Urban Corridor: 0.8-1.5 inches\/hour<br>\nPalmer Ridge and Raton Ridge: 1.0-2.0 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains: 1.5-2.5 inches\/hour<br>\nSoutheast Plains: 2.0-3.0 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 1 AM, with storms ending from west to east<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Front Range and Southeast Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms expected. Most will be garden variety, but one or two will be strong. The main threats from storms will be gusty winds and lightning, with brief periods of moderate-to-heavy rainfall. Maximum rain rates will be 0.7-1.1 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 11 AM &ndash; 8 PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, San Juan Mountains, Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, Central Mountains, and Southwest Slope:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> high-based showers\/thunderstorms are expected over the higher terrain of the Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, and San Juan Mountains. Very little rainfall, if any, will result. Elsewhere, it will be hot and dry like previous days, with temperatures 4-6 degrees above normal. Fire danger is elevated, once again, so please be extra cautious.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 11 AM &ndash; 8 PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/15\/2016 Issue Time: 9:20 AM A LOW FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FRONT RANGE, URBAN CORRIDOR, PALMER RIDGE, NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, AND RATON RIDGE. It will be another active day across eastern Colorado, with the threat of strong\/severe storms the main story. Dewpoints remain in the 50s and 60s [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3094"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3094"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3094\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3101,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3094\/revisions\/3101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}