{"id":3059,"date":"2016-07-12T09:27:22","date_gmt":"2016-07-12T15:27:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=3059"},"modified":"2016-07-12T09:30:22","modified_gmt":"2016-07-12T15:30:22","slug":"ftb-07-12-2016-warmer-with-a-low-chance-of-thunderstorms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=3059","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-12-2016: Warmer with a Low Chance of Thunderstorms"},"content":{"rendered":"

Issue Date: 7\/12\/2016
\nIssue Time: 9:24 AM<\/p>\n

NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST.<\/em><\/p>\n

The forecast today will only be a slight modification of yesterday’s, with the main change being slightly warmer temperatures. Dry, westerly flow aloft continues across Colorado, bringing gusty conditions to the higher terrain. Lower elevations of the Northern Mountains and Northwest Slope be the focus for elevated fire danger today, as low relative humidity and dry fuels combine with the gusty winds. Red Flag<\/span> Warnings have been issued, so please check with your local NWS<\/span> office for more details.<\/p>\n

A similarity to yesterday will be the slight chance for isolated<\/span> thunderstorms across Eastern Colorado, mainly eastern portions of the Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, and Southeast Plains. In the IPW image below, you can see the modest moisture “surge” responsible for fueling yesterday’s (continuing into this morning) thunderstorms. A similar moisture surge will occur again this afternoon\/evening, albeit not as robust, as winds turn south-southeasterly, pulling just a bit of Gulf moisture into eastern Colorado.<\/p>\n

\"IPW_20160712\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Tempering today’s thunderstorm chances is a bit of convergence aloft, thanks to the positioning of an upper-level jet streak<\/span>. This will work against thunderstorm development, keeping coverage more isolated<\/span> than yesterday. With that being said, any storms that form will have access to modest instability\/wind shear<\/span>, so one or two strong-to-marginally severe thunderstorms<\/span> cannot be ruled out. For more details regarding timing and rain rates, please see the zone-specific forecast discussions below.<\/p>\n

Today’s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n

For more information on today’s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n