{"id":2989,"date":"2016-07-05T09:48:43","date_gmt":"2016-07-05T15:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=2989"},"modified":"2016-07-05T09:48:43","modified_gmt":"2016-07-05T15:48:43","slug":"ftb-07-05-2016-moisture-holding-fairly-steady-activity-takes-another-downtick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=2989","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-05-2016: Moisture Holding Fairly Steady, Activity Takes Another Downtick"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/5\/2016<br>\nIssue Time: 9:45 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Before jumping into the subtle changes between today&rsquo;s atmospheric setup and yesterday&rsquo;s, let&rsquo;s take a look at the IPW graph below. You will notice that the amount of moisture across the state has remained nearly steady yesterday and today, after falling steadily through the afternoon\/evening on July 3rd. As for the subtle changes to the atmospheric setup, these include a weak cool front sliding across Wyoming and a weak, mid-\/upper-level disturbance that will work across northern Colorado this afternoon\/evening. The front will try to dip into the Northeast Plains, but will likely be washed out by ongoing shower\/thunderstorm <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IPW_20160705.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-2990 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IPW_20160705.png\" alt=\"IPW_20160705\" width=\"494\" height=\"220\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Generally speaking, the weak disturbance and cool front will focus the bulk of shower\/thunderstorm activity over the Northern Mountains, Front Range, and along the CO\/WY border across the Northeast Plains. Additionally, <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms will move across\/develop over the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, and northern portions of the Southeast Plains. Further south, dry and mostly sunny conditions will prevail as temperatures climb a few degrees above average for the date.<\/p>\n<p>Over the remainder of the High Country, the higher terrain will see a couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/weak thunderstorms today. Not much in the way of rainfall is expected as they will be fairly high-based with drier air below cloud level. Lower elevations will remain dry, minus a quick shower over downwind valleys as activity over the higher terrain moves overhead (before quickly diminishing). For more details regarding timing and rain rates, please see the zone-specific forecast discussions below.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/a.tiles.mapbox.com\/v4\/sgeiger.m2iiic0j\/attribution,zoompan,zoomwheel,geocoder,share.html?access_token=pk.eyJ1Ijoic2dlaWdlciIsImEiOiJmNjc5a3RBIn0.LbLupVkJsS5dbo9fsgrTDg\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500px\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, and Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms are expected over the Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, and Northeast Plains. Most will be garden-variety. Over the far Northeastern Plains, a strong\/<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorm&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorm<\/span> or two is possible, with the main threat being strong winds\/hail. For the Southeast Plains, only northern portions are expected to see any activity. For central and southern sections, skies will be mostly sunny with high temperatures climbing 3-5 degrees above average. Maximum rain rates are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Urban Corridor: 0.3-0.5 inches\/hour<br>\nPalmer Ridge and Southeast Plains: 0.4-0.7 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains: 0.8-1.2 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 2 PM &ndash; 10 PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, and Front Range:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers\/weak thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. Most will be garden variety, resulting in mainly light rainfall and gusty winds. Storms will end from west to east this evening. Maximum rain rates will be 0.4-0.7 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 8 PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, San Juan Mountains, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge, Southwest Slope, Grand Valley, and San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>A couple of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/weak thunderstorms are possible over the higher terrain, with probabilities decreasing from north to south. Most locations will remain dry. Cloud coverage will be greatest over northern zones, decreasing to the south. Maximum rain rates from any storms will be less than 0.25 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 8 PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/5\/2016 Issue Time: 9:45 AM NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST. Before jumping into the subtle changes between today&rsquo;s atmospheric setup and yesterday&rsquo;s, let&rsquo;s take a look at the IPW graph below. You will notice that the amount of moisture across the state has remained nearly steady yesterday and today, after falling steadily through [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2989"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2989"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2989\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2991,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2989\/revisions\/2991"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2989"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2989"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2989"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}