{"id":2710,"date":"2016-06-12T10:01:58","date_gmt":"2016-06-12T16:01:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=2710"},"modified":"2016-06-12T10:01:58","modified_gmt":"2016-06-12T16:01:58","slug":"ftb-06-12-2016-ingredients-coming-together-for-moderate-flood-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=2710","title":{"rendered":"FTB 06-12-2016: Ingredients Coming Together for Moderate Flood Threat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Issue Date: 6\/12\/2016
\nIssue Time: 10:00 AM<\/p>\n

A MODERATE FLOOD THREAT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST PLAINS, SOUTHEAST PLAINS, PALMER RIDGE, RATON RIDGE, URBAN CORRIDOR, AND FRONT RANGE.<\/em><\/p>\n

A LOW FLOOD THREAT SURROUNDS THE MODERATE FLOOD THREAT, AND ALSO INCLUDES PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS, CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, AND SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS.<\/em><\/p>\n

A LOW FLOOD THREAT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GREEN RIVER IN WEST CENTRAL MOFFAT COUNTY, THE CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER AT THE CANYON MOUTH AFFECTING LARIMER COUNTY, AND THE CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER NEAR GREELEY AFFECTING WELD COUNTY.<\/em><\/p>\n

Current analysis shows an upper-level trough<\/span> digging across the western US, slowly sliding into the Great Basin today. At the surface, a weak cool front has sagged southward into eastern Colorado, and will continue to do so through the remainder of today\/tonight. Behind the front, winds will take on a more easterly component this afternoon, enhancing the low-level moisture that is already above average. In fact, according to the 12Z Denver sounding, precipitable water<\/span> this morning is in the 90th percentile. A quick look at the IPW chart below reveals the good moisture available, especially for Pueblo (pink line) which is near 1 inch.<\/p>\n

\"IPW_20160612\"<\/a>
\nFor areas along\/east of the Continental Divide<\/span>, scattered<\/span> thunderstorms are expected today\/tonight. Sufficient moisture and warm layer depths of ~3 km will result in efficient rain processes, bringing the threat of heavy rain to the forefront today. Wind shear<\/span> isn’t substantial, but combined with sufficient instability and moisture, a few organized strong-to-severe storms are expected. Outflow boundaries<\/span> working westward off of eastern plains convection<\/span> may regenerate storms along the Front Range\/Urban Corridor\/Palmer Ridge overnight, working eastward with time. Overall, things will quiet down as we move into tomorrow morning.<\/p>\n

Turning our attention west of the Continental Divide<\/span>, moisture will decrease this afternoon across much of the area as drier air is transported in from the southwest. This drier air will bring a relative minimum to thunderstorm coverage (and potential rain rates) across the western third of the state. Thus, these locations are not included in the low flood threat area. The next surge of moisture will work back into the area early tomorrow morning, and a few showers may redevelop over the higher terrain near the CO\/UT border.<\/p>\n

Today’s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n

For more information on today’s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n