Current analysis shows an upper-level trough<\/span> laying overtop of the West Coast, while a surface low pressure system develops over SE Colorado\/NE New Mexico\/SW Kansas\/Panhandles. Ejecting from the upper-level trough<\/span> is a shortwave<\/span> disturbance, which will move across Colorado later today. The placement of the surface low pressure center is important, as it will help to transport moisture westward into northeastern Colorado, while bringing downlope conditions and drying to much of southeastern Colorado. A Denver Cyclone<\/span> will also be in play today, providing an additional focus for thunderstorm development.<\/p>\n All of the ingredients mentioned above will combine to create the strong-to-severe thunderstorm<\/span> risk for portions of eastern Colorado. The regions with the highest relative risk of seeing the isolated<\/span>-to-scattered<\/span> thunderstorms will be the Front Range, Urban Corridor and Northeast Plains where the moisture\/instability will be best. IPW values remain around average for this time of year (see IPW chart below), which will help mitigate the potential flood threat. However, with strong instability and dewpoints in the 40s and 50s, moderate-to-heavy rainfall will attend the strongest storms.<\/p>\n Further to the south across the Palmer Ridge and Southeast Plains (north of Highway 50), slightly drier air will hinder thunderstorm chances, but one or two isolated<\/span> storms cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, the area will remain mostly sunny and warm, with generally breezy conditions.<\/p>\n
![\"IPW_20160524\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/IPW_20160524.png\")
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