![\"Threat_Timeline_20160519\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/05\/Threat_Timeline_20160519.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\nThere are two “events” noted in this edition of the FTO, and both can be located on the water vapor imagery below. Event #1 is an upper-level low that will continue to deepen over the West Coast\/Great Basin the next couple of days before lifting to the northeast across the Northern Rockies. Behind it, Event #2 is just off screen, but the low-pressure “source region” can be noted in the storm track (yellow line with arrows).<\/p>\n
The upper-level low associated with Event #1 will become cut-off and stall for a brief period of time over the West Coast\/Great Basin, leaving Colorado under a shortwave<\/span> ridge for a couple of days. With the south-southwesterly flow in place, dry air (noted in the WV image below) will be ushered into the state, warming temperatures through Saturday afternoon (5\/21). There will still be afternoon showers\/thunderstorms over the higher terrain\/adjacent lower elevations typical of late-May, but a large precipitation event is not expected. With the drier air in place, and mid-level warming occurring, most places across the plains will be capped<\/span> off. However, by Saturday afternoon, the increased warming of the low-levels by daytime heating (among other factors) will potentially break the cap<\/span>, resulting in isolated<\/span> strong-to-severe thunderstorms<\/span> near the eastern CO border. This will be monitored closely by the daily FTB.<\/p>\n