{"id":19515,"date":"2022-09-02T09:05:22","date_gmt":"2022-09-02T15:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=19515"},"modified":"2022-09-02T09:05:22","modified_gmt":"2022-09-02T15:05:22","slug":"ftb-09-02-2022-precipitation-chances-increase-east-although-more-of-a-wind-than-heavy-rainfall-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=19515","title":{"rendered":"FTB 09-02-2022: Precipitation Chances Increase East, Although More Of A Wind Than Heavy Rainfall Threat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 2nd, 2022<br>\nIssue Time: 9:05AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;<strong>NOT&nbsp;<\/strong>expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There will be a minor change to the synoptic pattern today, which will help to increase the chance for precipitation over eastern Colorado. A passing <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> to our north is forecast to drop a weak cold front south and through the plains later today, which will help pull in some slightly higher moisture values over the area as indicated by the blue shades in the water vapor imagery below. In addition to the surface boundary, upper dynamics and enhanced convergence over the Palmer Ridge should help produce a little extra vertical motion causing an uptick in precipitation coverage over the plains. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Platteville was measured at 0.53 inches this morning, which should increase slightly throughout the day. However, a drier <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;boundary layer&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&amp;lt;br \/&amp;gt;&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;&amp;lt;span style=&amp;quot;color: #ffffff;&amp;quot;&amp;gt;The lower portion of the atmosphere that is directly influenced by the earth&amp;#039;s surface. Primarily, the boundary layer is driven by solar heating during the day and radiational cooling at night.&amp;lt;\/span&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>boundary layer<\/span> and moderate steering flows should limit the flood threat as the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms move south. In addition to storms that develop along the front through this evening, there could be increased upslope flow over the Front Range later this afternoon and evening. Again, limited surface moisture indicate that the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms will be more likely to produce light to moderate rainfall, plenty of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span> and perhaps some brief <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds, so flooding is NOT expected.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-19516\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902-300x216.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"504\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902-300x216.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902-1024x738.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902-768x553.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/wv_20220902.png 1224w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over western Colorado, <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Grand Junction was measured below average at 0.54 inches, and with continued subsidence from the High, most of the region should remain dry again today. With slightly higher moisture estimated over the San Juan Mountains, and to a lesser extent the Southeast Mountains, a couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> high-based storms may develop again this afternoon with the diurnal flow. Slower SSW storm movement should keep the rainfall confined to the high terrain, and flooding is NOT expected.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-13436 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FTB_NoThreat_2022_light.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"573\"\/><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Front Range, Raton Ridge, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains &amp; Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There will be two areas of potential rainfall development this afternoon through this evening. One will be over the adjacent plains along the front, and the other will be over the mountains\/immediate adjacent plains associated with the diurnal flow. Both areas are expected to have limited surface moisture, which mean the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms are likely to produce lots of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span>, brief <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> gusts and only light to moderate rainfall. Over the plains, max 30 to 45-minute rainfall rates up to 0.5 inches will be possible along with the better potential for some strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> gusts (up to 50 mph). Over the mountains and adjacent plains, max 30 to 45-minute rainfall rates up to 0.25 inches will be possible. Flooding is NOT expected today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Primetime: 2PM to 11PM<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Southeast Mountains, Central Mountains, Southwest Slope, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Grand Valley &amp; San Juan Mountains &amp; San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Afternoon temperatures should increase a little today with some fair weather cumulus likely to develop over the high terrain by this afternoon. A couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, light showers may be possible over the high terrain with the best chance of this occurring further south. Storm totals should remain under 0.2 inches with plenty of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span>, so flooding is NOT expected.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Primetime: 2PM to 8PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 2nd, 2022 Issue Time: 9:05AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;NOT&nbsp;expected today There will be a minor change to the synoptic pattern today, which will help to increase the chance for precipitation over eastern Colorado. A passing <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> to our north is forecast to drop a weak cold front south and through the [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19515"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19515"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19515\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19520,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19515\/revisions\/19520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}