{"id":18628,"date":"2022-07-24T10:32:39","date_gmt":"2022-07-24T16:32:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=18628"},"modified":"2022-07-25T07:13:57","modified_gmt":"2022-07-25T13:13:57","slug":"ftb-07-24-2022-widespread-heavy-rainfall-possible-lasting-into-the-evening-hours","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=18628","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-24-2022: Widespread Heavy Rainfall Possible Lasting Into the Evening Hours"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, July 24th, 2022<br>\nIssue Time: 10:30AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>&mdash; The flood threat persists into the overnight hours<\/em><\/span><br><em>&mdash;<\/em> <em>A&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>HIGH<\/em><\/strong><strong><em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><em>flood threat has been issued for the Northeast Plains,<\/em><em> Southeast Plains and Palmer Ridge<\/em><br><em>&mdash;<\/em> <em>A&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>MODERATE&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><em>flood threat has been issued for the F<\/em><em>ront Range, Southeast Mountains and Urban Corridor<\/em><br><em>&mdash; <\/em><em>A&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>LOW<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for the Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, San Juan Mountains and portions of the Grand Valley and Raton Ridge<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash;<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Fire-Burn Forecast Summary: <\/em><\/strong><em>2 burn areas under HIGH IMPACT, <\/em><em>4 <\/em><em>burn areas under H<\/em><em>IGH<\/em><em> threat; 3<\/em><em> burn areas under MODERATE; 2 burn areas under <\/em><em>L<\/em><em>OW<\/em><em> threat; click <a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?cat=7\">HERE<\/a> for more info<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A very active rainfall day is on tap with a solid increase in <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;monsoon&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;a seasonal wind that brings moisture and rain to the region into which it blows; there is also a dry phase to monsoons, but popular usage refers only to the wet phase; these winds occur in many places around the world, and where they occur they are responsible for a majority of that location&rsquo;s annual precipitation&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>monsoon<\/span> moisture over the state as an incoming Low begins to the push the center of the High to the east. This will create WSW flow aloft, and this moisture combined with robust mid-level lift moving through the flow should help to produce <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;numerous&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;40-60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>numerous<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> storms across the state. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Grand Junction has risen to 1.08 inches, and rainfall has already begun this morning over portions of the Northern Mountains, Grand Valley and Southwest Slope. Over eastern Colorado, a post-frontal upslope flow pattern will help to hold high <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> (mid-50&deg;Fs and 60&deg;Fs) in place. With steering flows decreasing across the state, very heavy rainfall will be possible under the stronger storm cores that develop. In addition to this threat, as storms move into the eastern plains, the threat for a couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorms&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorms<\/span> increases with the main threat being damaging <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-18629\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724-300x219.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"510\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724-300x219.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724-1024x746.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724-768x560.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220724.png 1194w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>With rainfall already beginning over northwest Colorado, a little more morning heating should expand the showers and weak storms fair quickly. It will be unlikely then that much instability can develop, so the heavy rainfall threat should be more limited over this area. Better instability is likely to build over the eastern and southern mountains, so as upslope flow and the mid-level lift combine, stronger thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are more likely. A LOW\/MODERATE flood threat has been issued. As storms move into the adjacent plains, heavy rainfall is anticipated with slower steering flows, a couple rounds of rainfall and high <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> banked up against the high terrains. The one exception will be over the northern Urban Corridor where <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;downsloping&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Refers to the winds that blow from higher elevations down towards lower elevations. As air parcels descend, they warm, which often results in rapid warming of areas near the higher terrains. It also promotes lower relative humidity values and stability, which prevents thunderstorm development.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>downsloping<\/span> winds set up from the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Denver Cyclone&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A subset of the Denver Convergence Vorticity Zone (DCVZ) in which the feature takes on a low-level cyclonic circulation, rather than an elongated area of convergent winds.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Denver cyclone<\/span>. Upscale growth and a couple severe storms are anticipated as the storms move into deeper moisture over the far eastern plains. A MODERATE\/HIGH threat has been issued that lasts into the overnight hours due to a few hours of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> rainfall forecast. Flood threats today include mud flows\/debris slides (steeper terrains), road flooding, heavy field and low-lying area ponding and flooding along local streams and creeks.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-18640\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724-300x203.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"596\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724-1024x694.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724-768x520.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724-1536x1041.png 1536w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220724.png 1774w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Central Mountains, Front Range, Southeast Mountains, Raton Ridge &amp; San Juan Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;numerous&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;40-60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>numerous<\/span> storms are forecast to develop over the mountains by early afternoon with a couple stronger thunderstorms possible. These could produce small hail as well as strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.75 inches (south) and 30-min rain rates up to 1.5 inches (north) are possible under the stronger storms that develop. This could cause mud flows and debris slides over the steeper terrains as well as road flooding and excessive runoff. A MODERATE\/LOW flood threat has been issued. Storms should begin to end this evening (north), but rainfall will likely linger over the San Juan Mountains into tomorrow morning.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 11:30AM to ongoing<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains &amp; Northeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Heavy rainfall is anticipated this afternoon and tonight with the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;numerous&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;40-60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>numerous<\/span> storms that develop. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.75 inches and storm totals up to 2.25 inches will be possible over the immediate adjacent plains. Over the far eastern plains, max 1-hour rain rates up to 2 inches are forecast under the stronger storm cores. Where storms linger for a few hours (border counties), <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> 3-hour totals around 4 inches will be possible. Flood threats today include the potential for heavy field ponding, road\/low-lying area flooding and rises on local streams\/creeks. In addition to heavy rainfall, damaging wind gusts will be possible over the far eastern plains where an <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;MCS&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Mesoscale Convective System) A complex of thunderstorms that produces a large, contiguous area of precipitation on the order of 100 km or more in the horizontal scale and normally persist for several hours or more.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>MCS<\/span> is likely to develop. Light rainfall may linger over the plains into tomorrow morning. A HIGH\/MODERATE flood threat has been issued.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 3PM to 3AM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, Southwest Slope, San Luis Valley &amp; Northern Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Rainfall has already started over northwest Colorado. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.25 inches and storm totals up to 0.75 inches will be possible for the area. Over the central and southern high terrains <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> 30-minute rain rates up to 0.5 inches are forecast. A couple storms may make it into the interior of the San Luis Valley with the WSW steering flows, and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> totals up to 0.4 inches will be possible. Light showers may linger overnight for the high terrains (central\/south). Flooding is NOT expected today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Ongoing to Midnight<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, July 24th, 2022 Issue Time: 10:30AM MDT &mdash; The flood threat persists into the overnight hours &mdash; A&nbsp;HIGH&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for the Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains and Palmer Ridge &mdash; A&nbsp;MODERATE&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for the Front Range, Southeast Mountains and Urban Corridor &mdash; A&nbsp;LOW&nbsp;flood threat has been issued [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18628"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18628"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18628\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18641,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18628\/revisions\/18641"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}