{"id":18453,"date":"2022-07-17T08:50:52","date_gmt":"2022-07-17T14:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=18453"},"modified":"2022-07-18T07:18:00","modified_gmt":"2022-07-18T13:18:00","slug":"ftb-07-17-2022-hot-dry-for-most-but-isolated-heavy-rain-threat-along-new-mexico-border","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=18453","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-17-2022: Hot &#038; Dry For Most, But Isolated Heavy Rain Threat Along New Mexico Border"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, June 17<sup>th<\/sup>, 2022<br>\nIssue Time: 8:50AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; A <strong>LOW<\/strong> flood threat has been posted for parts of the San Juan Mountains<\/em><\/p>\n<p>As easily seen in the water vapor image, below, significant drying has taken place across Colorado after a disturbance moved eastward out of the state over the past 24-hours. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> has dropped dramatically at Grand Junction from 1.22 inches yesterday to 0.79 inches this morning. As also seen in the water vapor image, a sliver of higher moisture remains right along the New Mexico border with <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> likely in the 0.8 &ndash; 0.9 inch range. Closer to the surface, moisture is also maximized along the New Mexico border with dewpoints at 50F or higher at elevations as high as 8,000 feet. Steering flow remains weak and under the influence of the monsoonal upper-level ridge, which is now centered just east of the Four Corners. Steering of storms will be slightly southward to the east of the San Luis Valley but slightly northward over the San Juans, where the highest storm chances will be today. With not a cloud in the sky this morning, instability will quickly reach 1,000 J\/kg <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;CAPE&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Convective Available Potential Energy) CAPE is a measure of the amount of available energy in the atmosphere for convection. Higher values indicate a greater potential for stronger updrafts, thus an increase in the potential for thunderstorms and severe weather.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>CAPE<\/span> or slightly higher over the southern higher terrain. With the sufficient moisture and slow steering flow, a LOW flood threat is warranted for the eastern portion of the San Juan Mountains where <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> heavy rainfall is expected with the strongest storms.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_markup-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-18454 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_markup-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"535\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_markup-5.png 654w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_markup-5-300x219.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 535px) 100vw, 535px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>With lower moisture and weak subsidence elsewhere, the rest of Colorado will remain mainly dry today. Without the clouds to block out the summer sun, expect very hot temperatures with reading above 100F expected below 5,500 feet statewide. At least moisture will be lower today, making the heat a bit more bearable.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-18465\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap-300x202.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"592\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap-1024x689.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap-768x517.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap-1536x1034.png 1536w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220717_snap.png 1780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, Southeast Mountains &amp; Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sunny early then partly cloudy with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widely scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;10-25% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widely scattered<\/span> showers and storms developing by early afternoon. Max 30-min rain rates up to 0.8 inches with max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.2 inches are possible mainly for elevations above 8,000 feet right along the New Mexico border. A LOW flood threat has been posted for parts of the region for <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span>, debris slides and mud flows. In the lower elevations, gusty winds up to 40mph could accompany the stronger storms.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 9PM<\/p>\n<p><strong>Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, Grand Valley, San Luis Valley &amp; Northwest Slope:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mostly sunny and very hot today with temperatures of 5-10F above normal, with readings above 100F likely across lower elevations. An <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> shower or storm cannot be ruled out along the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span> over elevations above 9,000 feet. Max 30-min rainfall up to 0.3 inches is possible along with gusty winds, but flooding is NOT expected today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 7PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, June 17th, 2022 Issue Time: 8:50AM MDT &mdash; A LOW flood threat has been posted for parts of the San Juan Mountains As easily seen in the water vapor image, below, significant drying has taken place across Colorado after a disturbance moved eastward out of the state over the past 24-hours. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18453"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18453"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18453\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18467,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18453\/revisions\/18467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}