{"id":18149,"date":"2022-07-02T09:43:40","date_gmt":"2022-07-02T15:43:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=18149"},"modified":"2022-07-03T09:53:15","modified_gmt":"2022-07-03T15:53:15","slug":"ftb-07-02-2022-slight-drying-trend-but-scattered-storms-return-to-the-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=18149","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-02-2022: Slight Drying Trend, But Scattered Storms Return To The Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Saturday, July 2nd, 2022<br>\nIssue Time: 9:45AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; A <strong>LOW<\/strong>&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for the Raton Ridge, Palmer Ridge and portions of the Urban Corridor, Front Range and San Juan Mountains<\/em><br><em>&mdash;<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Fire-Burn Forecast Summary:<\/em><\/strong> <em>4 burn areas under MODERATE threat, 4 burn areas under L<\/em><em>OW threat; click <a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?cat=7\">HERE<\/a> for more info<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Some drying has occurred across the state since yesterday, which can be seen by the increase of yellow in the water vapor imagery below. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Grand Junction has dropped to 0.91 inches, and over Denver, it has dropped to 0.83 inches. However, these values are still quite above normal, which means there will be plenty of moisture for another round of storms today. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Dew points<\/span> are still quite high over eastern Colorado, but across the southern border back west, the higher <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> should sit just south of the state. As the ridge builds northward today, there should be a slight increase in the afternoon high temperatures. This will also create a little more subsidence, or sinking motion, over the state and without any distinctive <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;shortwave&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>shortwave<\/span> moving overhead, storms should be more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> when compared to yesterday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-18150\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702-300x173.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"404\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702-1024x591.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702-768x444.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/wv_20220702.png 1444w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Clockwise storm motion around the High pressure means storms that develop over the mountains may spill into the adjacent plains this afternoon. These storms are most likely to continue over the three elevated ridges, and a stray storm or two may move across the border into the Northeast Plains this evening. With storm motion continuing to be on the slower side under the current synoptic setup, <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>, heavy rainfall may be possible under the stronger storm cores. This heavier rainfall potential will be over the elevated ridges (east) where enhanced convergence is likely to occur with slightly better moisture. The other area to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Watch&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;a weather watch is issued when conditions are favorable for a specific weather event to occur&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>watch<\/span> will be over the southern San Juan Mountains where a couple rounds of storms over the same area could cause local flooding issues. Since the threat will be more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> in nature today, only a LOW flood threat has been issued.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-18160\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap-300x202.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"594\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap-300x202.jpg 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap-1024x691.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap-768x518.jpg 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap-1536x1036.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/FTB_20220702_snap.jpg 1776w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains, Raton Ridge, Southeast Mountains &amp; Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.5 inches (north) and 1.25 inches (south) will be possible over the elevated ridges. This could cause local flooding issues on roads as well as field ponding, so a LOW flood threat has been issued. A storm may sneak into the far Northeast Plains this evening off the Cheyenne Ridge, and produce max 1-hour rain rates up to 1.5 inches if this occurs further east. If any stronger thunderstorms develop over the adjacent plains, they may produce some small hail and brief <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds. Generally, rain rates under the stronger storms over the Front Range and Southeast Mountains will be around 0.75 inches today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Noon to 9PM (south); 2PM to 11PM (north\/central)<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>San Juan Mountains, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, Southwest Slope &amp; San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Storms will be more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widely scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;10-25% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widely scattered<\/span> over the northern and central high terrains with more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms forecast south. Max 1-hour rain rates over the central and northern portions of these zones could reach up to 0.50 inches with brief, strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds possible. Further south, a few rounds of rainfall over the same location could produce local totals up to 1.5 inches. A LOW flood threat has been issued over the southern San Juan Mountains for this reason where increased runoff and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> mud flows and debris slides will be possible. Another round of weak showers may move into the area early tomorrow morning, but most storms should end a couple of hours after sundown tonight.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 11AM to 11PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Saturday, July 2nd, 2022 Issue Time: 9:45AM MDT &mdash; A LOW&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for the Raton Ridge, Palmer Ridge and portions of the Urban Corridor, Front Range and San Juan Mountains &mdash;&nbsp;Fire-Burn Forecast Summary: 4 burn areas under MODERATE threat, 4 burn areas under LOW threat; click HERE for more info [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18149"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18149"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18149\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18169,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18149\/revisions\/18169"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}