{"id":17000,"date":"2022-05-24T10:27:57","date_gmt":"2022-05-24T16:27:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=17000"},"modified":"2022-05-24T10:37:47","modified_gmt":"2022-05-24T16:37:47","slug":"ftb-05-24-2022-more-welcome-widespread-rain-and-thundersnow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=17000","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-24-2022: More Welcome, Widespread Rain And (Thunder)Snow"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 24th, 2022<br>Issue Time: 10:30AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is <strong>NOT<\/strong> expected today<\/em><br><em>&mdash; <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Red Flag&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;weather conditions are extremely conducive to burning and wildfires&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Red Flag<\/span> Warnings in effect for parts of Southwest Slope<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As we approach June, it becomes less and less likely that we get <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> precipitation events without some kind of flood threat. Fortunately, today is one of those days. As seen in the water vapor image, below, a deep <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> is currently centered over Colorado, and supported by strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;jet streak&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The region of a jet stream with the strongest winds.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>jet streak<\/span> dynamics. To the east, a surface low pressure currently sits over western Oklahoma and is expected to move slowly east-northeast through the day. Light precipitation is ongoing over the Southeast Plains and will continue throughout the day, as weak warm air <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;advection&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The process of transport of an atmospheric property, typically temperature or moisture in our FTB discussions, by the wind. &amp;quot;Strong&rdquo; or &amp;quot;weak&rdquo; advection refers to the rate of change of the advected property&amp;#039;s value at a given point.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>advection<\/span> from the low circulation will force relatively warm moist air to rise and condense as it is pushed into Colorado. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> this morning was 0.47 and 0.35 inches at Denver and Grand Junction, respectively, and will stay steady or drop especially over central and western Colorado. Without any meaningful instability over eastern areas, only light or perhaps briefly moderate rain intensity is expected. Though all of it will of course be mighty welcome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"keychainify-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/wv_markup-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-17001 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/wv_markup-7-300x233.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"552\" height=\"429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/wv_markup-7-300x233.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/wv_markup-7.png 576w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 552px) 100vw, 552px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Further west over the higher terrain, very cold mid and upper-level temperatures are moving into the state. Combined with at least some solar insolation peeking through the clouds this morning and afternoon, this will destabilize the atmosphere to produce <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;CAPE&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Convective Available Potential Energy) CAPE is a measure of the amount of available energy in the atmosphere for convection. Higher values indicate a greater potential for stronger updrafts, thus an increase in the potential for thunderstorms and severe weather.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>CAPE<\/span> of up to 500 J\/kg. However, with such cold temperatures and swift storm motion, the main form of precipitation will be snow, or more appropriately: thundersnow! Very impressive, though brief, snow rates are expected today with up to 1-2 inches of snow possible over 15-30 minutes this afternoon. However, flooding is NOT expected.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lastly, subsidence behind this disturbance will bring down drier air from the mid-levels of the atmosphere, which along with gusty winds has prompted <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Red Flag&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;weather conditions are extremely conducive to burning and wildfires&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Red Flag<\/span> Warnings for lower-elevation parts of southwest Colorado.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FTB_NoThreat_2022_light.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"768\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FTB_NoThreat_2022_light.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FTB_NoThreat_2022_light.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/FTB_NoThreat_2022_light-300x224.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4><strong>Northeast Plains, Southeast Plains, Urban Corridor, Raton Ridge &amp; Palmer Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Mostly cloudy with rain showers and weak <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms expected to increase in coverage this afternoon. The best coverage will be over the Southeast Plains. Max 1-hour rainfall up to 0.4 inches is possible, but flooding is NOT expected. Up to 1.75 inches of precipitation is expected to fall by late tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Primetime: Ongoing to 11PM<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4><strong>Northern Mountains, Front Range, Central Mountains, San Juan Mountains, San Luis Valley &amp; Southeast Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;numerous&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;40-60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>numerous<\/span> snow showers and weak thunderstorms. Max 1-hour liquid equivalent up to 0.4 inches possible, which could lead to a quick 1-2 inches of snow in less than 1 hour. The snow level will vary between 7,000 and 8,500 feet. Flooding is NOT expected today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Primetime: 12PM through 8PM<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4><strong>Grand Valley, Southwest Slope &amp; Northwest Slope:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Mostly sunny early then partly cloudy, breezy and cool with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> rain and snow showers possible during the afternoon. An <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storm cannot be ruled out. Max 1-hour rainfall up to 0.3 inches. Flooding is NOT expected today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Red Flag&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;weather conditions are extremely conducive to burning and wildfires&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Red Flag<\/span> Warnings are in effect for parts of the Southwest Slope as gusty winds and lower humidity are expected this afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Primetime: 12PM through 6PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 24th, 2022Issue Time: 10:30AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is NOT expected today&mdash; <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Red Flag&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;weather conditions are extremely conducive to burning and wildfires&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Red Flag<\/span> Warnings in effect for parts of Southwest Slope As we approach June, it becomes less and less likely that we get <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> precipitation events without some kind of flood threat. Fortunately, today is one of those days. As [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17000"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17000"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17000\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17006,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17000\/revisions\/17006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}