![\"ABQ_ipw_comparison\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/ABQ_ipw_comparison.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\nBack to the forecast, over the course of the next 15 days, we see two time periods with heavy rainfall potential. Both of these Events are classified with an Elevated flood threat. Let’s look at the details of each Event:<\/p>\n
Event #1: Thursday (8\/6) through Saturday (8\/8)<\/strong><\/p>\nAn Elevated<\/strong><\/span> flood threat, mainly east of the Divide<\/span><\/p>\nThe Pacific disturbance will slowly trek from the Gulf of Alaska and impact Colorado by later next week. As this disturbance will likely be coming in from the west\/northwest, it appears that the monsoonal connection may be limited. However, this is somewhat uncertain, especially given the tendency for models to underestimate the monsoon<\/span> feed. We anticipate that the Northeast Plains will be under the highest threat for heavy rainfall as a cool front makes its way down the east face of the Rockies, promoting easterly upslope flow. The cool front will have the opportunity to sag all the way southward through the state, which will provide for rainfall chances even in the Southeast Plains. In additional to the rainfall threat, since this disturbance will be accompanied by jet stream<\/span> dynamics, hail and strong winds may be possible especially on Thursday 8\/6.<\/p>\n
![\"threat_timeline.20150803\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/threat_timeline.20150803.png\")
<\/a>Mother Nature is not taking her foot off the gas pedal, at least when it comes to the continued prospects of active weather across Colorado. Two things are particularly noteworthy in this afternoon’s snapshot of the atmosphere, shown below in the water vapor image. First, we see two low-pressure disturbances in the Gulf of Alaska. Interestingly, these disturbances are somewhat solitary, in the sense that they are not strongly attached to any significant steering winds. The end result is that their movement will be very slow. Ultimately, both of these features are anticipated to influence our weather over the time period covered by this Flood Threat Outlook.<\/p>\n