We wish everyone a Happy Independence Day!<\/p>\n
Elevated moisture continues to hang around Colorado on this Sunday. Grand Junction’s PW<\/span> has fallen slightly to 0.81 inches, still well above normal but with a notable dry layer aloft as well as drying boundary layer<\/span> suggesting a continued trend of lower storm coverage west of the Continental Divide<\/span>. East of the Continental Divide<\/span>, PW<\/span> at Denver this morning was 0.89 inches, which is well above the average value of about 0.70 inches for early July. There are two features that will support heavy rainfall today. First, a weak disturbance was noted over northwest Colorado, and as this moves slowly east\/southeast, it will help trigger scattered<\/span> to numerous<\/span> showers and thunderstorms over the higher terrain. With weak northerly steering flow, storms are expected to have a hard time making it into the lower elevations. With elevated moisture levels and plenty of sunshine this morning, a Low flood threat is warranted for basically the entire higher terrain where stronger storms could quickly drop over 1 inch of rainfall in 45-60 minutes before dissipating. Prolific storm cores, capable of causing excessive runoff, have been noted daily for the past 3-5 days and there is nothing to suggest this pattern will end today. In short, moisture is everything in our topographically driven summer circulation. The second feature we are watching is a disturbance moving south over western Kansas, which will trigger strong to severe thunderstorms<\/span> over parts of the Southeast Plains today. With copious moisture, these slow moving storms will be capable of producing isolated<\/span> flash flooding<\/span>, along with severe weather later this afternoon and into the early overnight hours.<\/p>\n
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