{"id":14189,"date":"2021-06-03T09:11:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-03T15:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=14189"},"modified":"2021-06-03T09:11:00","modified_gmt":"2021-06-03T15:11:00","slug":"ftb-06-03-2021-rising-temperatures-scattered-mountain-storms-mainly-south","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=14189","title":{"rendered":"FTB 06-03-2021: Rising Temperatures &#038; Scattered Mountain Storms Mainly South"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Thursday, June 3rd, 2021<br>\nIssue Time: 9:10AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>NOT&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><em>expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p>High temperatures will be on the rise today with the strengthening ridge overhead. As far as the first ingredient for rainfall, there&rsquo;s a bit of mid-level moisture rotating around the High (mostly over the four-corners region). Average <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> for that area was measured around 0.50 inches, which is plenty for <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms to develop this afternoon. Over Denver, <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> was slightly higher at 0.58 inches, but a dry mid-level atmosphere was noted. For lift, there&rsquo;s some weak mid-level energy moving around the High from north to south. Those weak disturbances and the daily diurnal flow will provide the lift for storm development over the mountains. Finally, instability looks to be decent over the central and southern mountains as well as over the eastern plains. However, NNE steering flow and lack of lift over the plains means that the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms this afternoon and evening should be confined to the central and southern mountains. Further north (Front Range\/Central Mountains), that dry air in the mid-levels should keep storms confined to areas along and close to the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14190\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/wv_20210603.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/wv_20210603.png 944w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/wv_20210603-300x261.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/wv_20210603-768x669.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Morning soundings (south) indicated that the majority of the moisture today is located in the mid-levels. This and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Inverted-V&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Refers to the shape of the lower levels of an atmospheric profile. The shape of the &amp;quot;Inverted V&rdquo; is the result of dry air below cloud level, which promotes strong winds and evaporation of precipitation before reaching the surface.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>inverted-V<\/span> profiles with decent <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;CAPE&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Convective Available Potential Energy) CAPE is a measure of the amount of available energy in the atmosphere for convection. Higher values indicate a greater potential for stronger updrafts, thus an increase in the potential for thunderstorms and severe weather.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>CAPE<\/span> imply that the main threat from storms that develop this afternoon and evening will be strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds. Accompanying those stronger, <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms that develop will be lightning, small hail and brief, heavy rainfall. Storms should dissipate quickly with the decreasing instability after the sun sets. Flooding is NOT forecast today.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-13436 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"717\" height=\"538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021.png 1292w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-1024x768.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 717px) 100vw, 717px\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Central Mountains, Southeast Mountains, San Juan Mountains, Front Range &amp; San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> storms will develop this afternoon over the mountains favoring areas south for more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> development. Best coverage for <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms will be over the San Juan Mountains. The main threat from storms that develop south will be strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds, lightning, small hail and brief rainfall. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.50 inches (San Juans), 0.25 inches (Southeast Mountains) and 0.20 inches (Front Range and Central Mountains) will be possible. With NNE steering flow, some storms may wander into the SLV, but should dissipate rather quickly due to the dry surface layer. Flooding is NOT forecast today.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Noon to 10PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Southwest Slope, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains &amp; Grand Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>It&rsquo;s going to be hot and dry today. Afternoon highs over the Grand Valley will reach into the mid-90Fs. With upper 80Fs and low 90Fs for the lower elevations of the Southwest and Northwest Slopes. Over the Northern Mountains, valleys should reach around 80F this afternoon. Rainfall is not forecast.<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Southeast Plains, Raton Ridge, Palmer Ridge, Northeast Plains &amp; Urban Corridor: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>High temperatures this afternoon will craw into the upper 80Fs with slightly lower temperatures for the elevated Ridges. There may be a few clouds this afternoon, but mainly looking at clear, blue skies. Rainfall is not forecast.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Thursday, June 3rd, 2021 Issue Time: 9:10AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;NOT&nbsp;expected today High temperatures will be on the rise today with the strengthening ridge overhead. As far as the first ingredient for rainfall, there&rsquo;s a bit of mid-level moisture rotating around the High (mostly over the four-corners region). Average <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> for that area [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14189"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14189"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14189\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14192,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14189\/revisions\/14192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14189"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}