{"id":14117,"date":"2021-05-30T10:37:41","date_gmt":"2021-05-30T16:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=14117"},"modified":"2021-05-31T08:01:12","modified_gmt":"2021-05-31T14:01:12","slug":"ftb-05-30-2021-heavy-rainfall-threat-continues-east-with-moderatelow-threat-issued","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=14117","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-30-2021: Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues East with Moderate\/Low Threat Issued"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, May 30th, 2021<br>\nIssue Time: 10:35AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; A&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>MODERATE<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for portions of the Palmer Ridge, Southeast Mountains, western Southeast Plains and Raton Ridge<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; A&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>LOW<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for portions of the Northeast Plains, southern Urban Corridor and eastern Southeast Plains<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A few showers over the Northern Mountains and Front Range to start the day with some thunder over the eastern plains. Today, the atmosphere will remain very moist over eastern Colorado, which is shown by the nearly saturated atmosphere in this morning&rsquo;s sounding. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> was measured at 0.83 inches, which is well above normal for this time of year. One limiting factor for heavy rainfall over eastern Colorado will be lack of instability due to cooler temperatures and ongoing cloud cover (see visible satellite imagery below). This should somewhat help to temper the rain rates within the storms that develop on the north side of the front (southern Palmer Ridge). On the flip side, slow westward moving storms, a second round of <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> rainfall this afternoon\/evening associated with the incoming <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> (orange line below) and nearly continuous upslope flow will help increase rainfall accumulation for this area. This is especially true over the eastern plains where even higher moisture resides, so a Low flood threat has been issued for this area.<\/p>\n<p>Stronger storms are forecast to develop along and south of the frontal boundary where better instability will be able to build. The highest rain rates should be over these regions and a couple severe storms are possible over the Raton Ridge, Southeast Plains and southern Palmer Ridge. Paired with slow storm motion, a Moderate flood threat has been issued. Threats include road, low-lying area and local stream flooding.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14118\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/vis_20210530.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/vis_20210530.png 1154w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/vis_20210530-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/vis_20210530-768x496.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/vis_20210530-1024x662.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s a bit drier back to the west, especially over the southwest corner. <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at Grand Junction was measured at 0.48 inches, and a dry surface layer with a&nbsp;large <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew point&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew point<\/span> depression means storms that develop this afternoon will be less efficient at rainfall accumulation. Best chance for rainfall will be over the Central and Northern Mountains and over the lower elevations along and north of I-70.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p>A <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;NWS&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;National Weather Service&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>NWS<\/span> Flood <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Warning&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;a weather warning is issued when a specific weather event is imminent or occurring&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Warning<\/span> is ongoing for the Purgatoire River at Las Animas through Sunday evening. As of 8AM the river was at 9.83 feet, which is in the Minor flood stage. Flood threats include minor agriculture flooding of low-lying areas near the river.&nbsp;<em><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Update: As of 10:30AM this morning, the river was at 13.81 feet, which is now in the Moderate flood stage. Flood threats continue to remain the same but are slightly elevated.<\/span><\/em><br><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14124\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/FTB_20210530_snap.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"594\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/FTB_20210530_snap.png 1780w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/FTB_20210530_snap-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/FTB_20210530_snap-768x519.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/FTB_20210530_snap-1024x691.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Southeast Plains, Raton Ridge &amp; Palmer Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>There&rsquo;s a chance for a couple severe storms over these regions this afternoon (south) if some instability is able to build before the storms move slowly off the mountains. Severe storms that develop south, may produce 1.50 inch hail and brief windy conditions. As the storms move into a higher moisture environment at the lower elevations, max 1-hour rain rates up to 2 inches will be possible with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;widespread&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;greater than 60% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>widespread<\/span> rainfall forecast. Thus, a Moderate flood threat has been issued for road, low-lying area and local stream flooding.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to Midnight<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains &amp; Southeast Mountains: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Limited instability further north should limit rainfall rates, although after this morning&rsquo;s rainfall and another round this afternoon could push accumulations over the Front Range close to 1.25 inches by morning. Over the Southeast Mountains, general rainfall totals should be closer to 0.75 inches with light showers linger into the night. With slightly higher moisture over the eastern plains and nearly stationary storms, totals are expected to be larger over the 24-hour period. With <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> 24-hour totals up to 3.25&nbsp;inches possible over plains, the Low flood threat has been extended out east. Flooding of roads, ditches, fields and low-lying areas is possible.<\/p>\n<p>A <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flood&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Flash Flood<\/span> <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Watch&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;a weather watch is issued when conditions are favorable for a specific weather event to occur&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Watch<\/span> has been issued by <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;NWS&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;National Weather Service&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>NWS<\/span> Pueblo for the burn areas over the Southeast Mountains. Please check our FBF for burn areas today as there has been elevated threats issued for some burn areas within these regions.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Ongoing to 2AM<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Grand Valley, Central Mountains, San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope &amp; San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Best chance for a couple thunderstorms and accumulating showers will be over the Central and Northern Mountains. Some <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms forecast for the elevated plateaus late this afternoon and evening along and north of I-70. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.25 inches will be possible with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storm totals up to 0.50 inches possible on southwest facing slopes. Flooding is NOT forecast.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 2PM to 11PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Sunday, May 30th, 2021 Issue Time: 10:35AM MDT &mdash; A&nbsp;MODERATE&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for portions of the Palmer Ridge, Southeast Mountains, western Southeast Plains and Raton Ridge &mdash; A&nbsp;LOW&nbsp;flood threat has been issued for portions of the Northeast Plains, southern Urban Corridor and eastern Southeast Plains A few showers over the Northern [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14117"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14117"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14117\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14125,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14117\/revisions\/14125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}