{"id":1387,"date":"2015-07-25T09:40:48","date_gmt":"2015-07-25T15:40:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=1387"},"modified":"2015-07-25T09:40:48","modified_gmt":"2015-07-25T15:40:48","slug":"ftb-07-25-2015-much-drier-north-and-west-isolated-to-scattered-thunderstorms-remain-possible-south-and-east","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=1387","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-25-2015: Much Drier North and West, Isolated-to-Scattered Thunderstorms Remain Possible South and East"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/25\/2015<br>\nIssue Time: 9:30 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The same general upper-air pattern remains across the continental US, generally characterized by a high pressure ridge across the central US, flanked by a <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> on either coast. The upper-level high pressure is expected to stay centered over Texas today; this is a bit further east than yesterday, thanks to the upper-level low pushing onshore over the Pacific Northwest. This will force drier air into the state today as flow becomes more westerly, but decent mid-level moisture will hang to the south and east of a line bisecting the state from southwest to northeast.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/07252015_WV.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-1388 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/07252015_WV.png\" alt=\"07252015_WV\" width=\"488\" height=\"363\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For High Country areas underneath the drier air, i.e., the Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Grand Valley, and Southwest Slope, sunny skies and hot temperatures will be the main story today, with fair weather clouds breaking up the sunshine. A bit better moisture will hang out over the Central Mountains and Front Range, so a couple <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/weak thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, especially across southern portions.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> coverage of thunderstorms is expected over the higher terrain of other western Colorado regions (San Juan Mountains, San Luis Valley, and Southeast Mountains). With <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>precipitable water<\/span> values running below average for this time of year, rain rates will not be particularly impressive, and the biggest impacts will be gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds and dangerous lightning.<\/p>\n<p>For eastern Colorado, mostly sunny skies and hot temperatures will be the name of the game for most. Near the interface with the higher terrain, a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/weak thunderstorms will move overhead off the mountains for southern portions of the Urban Corridor and western portions of the Southeast Plains. The best chance for thunderstorms today will be along the CO\/NM and CO\/KS borders, where a surface boundaries will enhance thunderstorm development a bit. With relatively dry air still in place below cloud bases, the main threats will be strong winds and large hail. Brief moderate rainfall will attend the strongest storms near the CO\/KS border across the Southeast Plains and southeastern portions of the Northeast Plains, but dry air and storm motions will limit the impacts to minor street\/field ponding.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/a.tiles.mapbox.com\/v4\/sgeiger.m2iiic0j\/attribution,zoompan,zoomwheel,geocoder,share.html?access_token=pk.eyJ1Ijoic2dlaWdlciIsImEiOiJmNjc5a3RBIn0.LbLupVkJsS5dbo9fsgrTDg\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500px\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Raton Ridge, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, and Northeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mostly sunny and hot will be the main story, with a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span>-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms breaking the heat near the mountains south of I-70, and near the CO\/KS and CO\/NM borders (as described above). Temperatures will be a degree or two cooler than yesterday, so not really a noticeable change. Max rain rates break down like this:<\/p>\n<p>Urban Corridor and Palmer Ridge: 0.25-0.5 inches\/hour<br>\nNortheast Plains: 0.8-1.2 inches\/hour<br>\nRaton Ridge: 0.9-1.3 inches\/hour<br>\nSoutheast Plains: 1.0-1.8 inches\/hour<\/p>\n<p>Timing: Noon &ndash; 9 PM, with a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> showers\/thunderstorms lingering until midnight before crossing into Kansas.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Southwest Slope and Grand Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Hot and dry, with a few fair weather clouds breaking up the otherwise sunny sky. Today would be a great Saturday to get outside and enjoy the summer. Remember to drink plenty of water and take breaks from the sun, when necessary.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Central Mountains, Southeast Mountains, San Luis Valley, and San Juan Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> storms for the Front Range and Central Mountains, becoming more <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> to the south. Main impacts will be gusty winds and lightning, with only light rainfall expected. Rain rates will be 0.2-0.4 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 11 AM &ndash; 9 PM<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/25\/2015 Issue Time: 9:30 AM NO FLOOD THREAT IS FORECAST. The same general upper-air pattern remains across the continental US, generally characterized by a high pressure ridge across the central US, flanked by a <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> on either coast. The upper-level high pressure is expected to stay centered over Texas today; this is a [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1387"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1387"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1387\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1389,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1387\/revisions\/1389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}