{"id":13722,"date":"2021-05-11T09:36:54","date_gmt":"2021-05-11T15:36:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=13722"},"modified":"2021-05-11T09:38:28","modified_gmt":"2021-05-11T15:38:28","slug":"ftb-05-11-2021-wet-chilly-weather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=13722","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-11-2021: Wet &#038; Chilly Weather"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 11th, 2021<br>\nIssue Time: 9:40AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;<\/em><strong><i>NOT&nbsp;<\/i><\/strong><em>expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s a cold and wet start to the morning across the state. Temperatures below (red numbers) show freezing conditions for the majority of the state with the exception of the lowest elevations (eastern plains and western slope). Currently, fog is present over the mountain valleys, along with a rain\/snow mix for the eastern plains and patchy, moderate snowfall over the Northern Mountains. The upper Low will traverse eastward across the northern portion of the state today, which will produce upslope flow over the region outlined in black below. So, although there is a slight break in precipitation now, it is forecast to pick back up early this afternoon.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-13723\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/surface_20210511.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/surface_20210511.png 1214w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/surface_20210511-300x204.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/surface_20210511-768x521.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/surface_20210511-1024x695.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Soundings this morning show that drier air has worked its way into the atmosphere above 600mb both east and west of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span>. Thus, <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> values have dropped off about a tenth of an inch from yesterday and were measured around 0.40 inches. With the Low overhead helping to provide lift and plenty of moisture, an increase in precipitation is forecast over the Northern Mountains, Front Range, Urban Corridor and Palmer Ridge early this afternoon. Over the highest elevations, this will be in the form of snow, over the plains rainfall is most likely, and over the foothills and elevated Palmer Ridge mixed precipitation will likely occur. Once again, limited instability and lower <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> values mean more stratiform precipitation with perhaps only a little embedded <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;convection&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Refers to vertical atmospheric motion driven by buoyancy, i.e., warm air is less dense than cool air, and therefore rises. One of the primary drivers of thunderstorm development, especially during monsoon season.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>convection<\/span>. With precipitation rates well below flooding thresholds and more snow for the mountains, flooding is not forecast. Precipitation should start to come to an end this evening, first east then west.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<br><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-13436 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"717\" height=\"538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021.png 1292w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2021-1024x768.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 717px) 100vw, 717px\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, Front Range, Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains &amp; Palmer Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Another 6-8 inches could fall this afternoon over the Front Range and Northern Mountains above 8K feet making for messy traveling conditions. The Winter Storm <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Warning&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;a weather warning is issued when a specific weather event is imminent or occurring&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Warning<\/span> issued by the <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;NWS&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;National Weather Service&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>NWS<\/span> remains in effect until 6PM. Over the Northern Mountains and Southwest Slope, totals up to 0.75 inches and 0.50 inches will be possible, respectively. Over the Urban Corridor and western Palmer Ridge, totals up to 0.75 inches will be possible by morning with a rain\/snow mix over the Palmer Ridge. Ongoing rainfall should become more discrete over the Northeast Plains by this afternoon\/evening, and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> totals just under 0.50 inches are possible. Precipitation will end from east to west starting early this evening.<\/p>\n<p>It is likely that with precipitation over the last couple of days, the Calwood burn area soils are saturated. With a rising freezing line throughout the day, precipitation this afternoon may fall as rainfall over the burn area. Although hourly rain rates are below flood threat criteria today, 24-hour totals could add another 0.25 inches to the area making soils <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;unstable&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the atmosphere is considered unstable if it is conducive to air attempting to rise; the opposite of stable; an unstable atmosphere is necessary for thunderstorms&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>unstable<\/span>. Thus, a Low flood threat will be issued for extra caution.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: Ongoing to 10PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Grand Valley, San Juan Mountains, Southwest Slope, San Luis Valley, Southeast Plains, Southeast Mountains &amp; Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Current rainfall over the Southeast Plains should start to come to an end by about noon as favorable lift and moisture moves away from the area. Some weak showers may be possible these evening as the Low moves east over the area. Overall, it is looking to be dry and cool for the mountains, Raton Ridge and Southeast Plains. Back to the west,&nbsp;temperatures will reach into the mid-60Fs over the Grand Valley, Southeast Slopes and San Luis Valley with plenty of sunshine to go around.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Tuesday, May 11th, 2021 Issue Time: 9:40AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is&nbsp;NOT&nbsp;expected today It&rsquo;s a cold and wet start to the morning across the state. Temperatures below (red numbers) show freezing conditions for the majority of the state with the exception of the lowest elevations (eastern plains and western slope). Currently, fog is present [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13722"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13722"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13722\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13729,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13722\/revisions\/13729"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}