{"id":13206,"date":"2020-09-18T08:43:08","date_gmt":"2020-09-18T14:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=13206"},"modified":"2020-09-18T08:43:08","modified_gmt":"2020-09-18T14:43:08","slug":"ftb-09-18-2020-mild-weather-with-increasing-winds-and-cloud-cover-as-the-trough-moves-east","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=13206","title":{"rendered":"FTB 09-18-2020: Mild Weather with Increasing Winds and Cloud Cover as the Trough Moves East"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 18th, 2020<br>\nIssue Time: 8:45AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is <strong>NOT<\/strong> expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Finally, a little bit of change to talk about in regard to the weather pattern. The 500mb ridge and associated High have started to be pushed south with the incoming <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> off the west coast (red arrow). The center of upper Low will start to move onshore and into the Pacific Northwest throughout the day, and upper level lift (orange &ldquo;X&rdquo;) out in front of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> will bring increasing cloud cover to the state from west to east beginning later this afternoon. The Salt Lake City sounding is showing most of the moisture in the mid and upper atmosphere and measuring <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> at 0.36 inches. This translates to no rainfall for the state with this first wave of energy, especially with the large <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew point&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew point<\/span> depression.<\/p>\n<p>As the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> approaches and the pressure gradient tightens, surface winds are anticipated to increase over the northwest corner of the state. Additionally, a lee surface Low is expected to develop to our north, which will increase south and southwesterly winds over eastern Colorado this afternoon. This may cause some elevated fire conditions, particularly over the Northwest Slope.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-13207 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/wv_mid_20200918.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"630\" height=\"445\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/wv_mid_20200918.png 630w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/wv_mid_20200918-300x212.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2020.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11243\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2020.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"717\" height=\"537\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Grand Valley, <\/strong><strong>San Luis Valley, <\/strong><strong>Northwest Slope, Southwest Slope, San Juan Mountains, Northern Mountains, &amp; Central Mountains: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Expect an increase in southwest and westerly winds over the northwest corner of the state this afternoon. Winds are expected to be in the 12 to 18 mph range with gusts up to 25 mph possible. With relative humidity values&nbsp;dropping into the single digits, elevated fire weather is anticipated. Afternoon temperatures are expected to be similar to yesterday, so still 4F to 8F above average for this time of year. As the Low approaches, upper level cloud cover will increase this afternoon into this evening, but no rainfall is anticipated. Not much change in the near surface or upper level smoke levels when compared to yesterday.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Southeast Mountains, Front Range, Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, Northeast Plains, &amp; Southeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The lee cyclone to our north will produce south and southwesterly winds across the eastern plains this afternoon in the 10 to 15 mph range. Slightly higher winds are forecast over the Southeast Plains with gusts up to 25 mph possible. Similar story to yesterday in regard to the high temperatures. Still well above normal for this time of year, especially over the Northeast Plains (~10F above normal). Expect increasing upper level cloud cover late this afternoon and into the overnight hours, which will help a bit with the heat and may keep overnight lows slightly higher. No rainfall is forecast due to the dry surface layer, but <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;virga&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Wisps or streaks of precipitation falling out of a cloud that evaporate before reaching the surface. Virga can cause strong, but short-lived, localized winds (dry microburst).&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>virga<\/span> storms could produce some brief wind. The HRRR smoke model is showing a decrease in near surface smoke by this afternoon, but not much change in the upper level smoke. Please, follow your local <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;NWS&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;National Weather Service&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>NWS<\/span> office for the latest on Air Quality Alerts issued for your area.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, September 18th, 2020 Issue Time: 8:45AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is NOT expected today Finally, a little bit of change to talk about in regard to the weather pattern. The 500mb ridge and associated High have started to be pushed south with the incoming <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> off the west coast (red arrow). The center [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13206"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13206"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13206\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13208,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13206\/revisions\/13208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}