Today the pattern begins to shift slightly as some mid-level energy, associated with an incoming trough<\/span> and remnants of Genevieve, start to move eastward. As these shortwaves move inland (area of cloud cover below), they should displace the ridge axis slightly eastward, which will start to pull some mid and upper level moisture into the state from the east (green oval). This means that rainfall efficiencies and coverage should start to increase with another round of scattered<\/span> afternoon storms forecast over the mountains and western plateaus. The High itself doesn’t get displaced much, so expecting steering winds to be on the lower end again with the pop-like convection<\/span> that forms over the higher terrains. CAPE<\/span> also looks like it will increase when compared to yesterday, so there’s a better chance for some thunderstorms this afternoon over the mountains. While thunderstorms typically mean more wetting rainfall, some gusty outflow<\/span> winds should also be expected (up to 40 mph) with the large dew point<\/span> depressions along with lightning.<\/p>\n There will be a slightly greater PW<\/span> surge over the southwest corner of the state as the High become oriented SW to NE, so expecting some higher totals in this area as well as over the southern Southeast Mountains. With higher totals and chances for precipitation forecast over the Southeast Mountains and Raton Ridge intersect, a thunderstorm could pop over the southern end of the Spring Creek burn area. A Low flood threat has been issued with isolated<\/span> rain totals up to 0.70 inches possible, which could trigger some flash flooding<\/span> and mud\/debris flows onto Highway 12 if a storm forms overhead. Elsewhere, the rainfall should be gradual enough and heavier rainfall cores small enough that flooding is not expected.<\/p>\n Over the plains, a lee trough<\/span> may produce a storm or two over the Northeast Plains if storms can break the cap<\/span>. I would say the chances of this occurring are a little greater than the last couple of days with the extra mid-level lift moving into the area. Additionally, some storms could fire over the Cheyenne Ridge and move southeast across the border. Overall, storms should be on the weaker end, so flooding is not forecast.<\/p>\n For more information on today’s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/vis_20200825.png\")
<\/p>\nToday’s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/FTB_20200825_snap.png\")
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