{"id":12588,"date":"2020-07-31T10:15:57","date_gmt":"2020-07-31T16:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=12588"},"modified":"2020-07-31T10:15:57","modified_gmt":"2020-07-31T16:15:57","slug":"ftb-07-31-2020-scattered-mountain-storms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=12588","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-31-2020: Scattered Mountain Storms"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, July 31st, 2020<br>\nIssue Time: 10:15AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is <strong>NOT<\/strong> expected today<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Strong northerly flow continues over Colorado today due to the state being stuck between a high amplitude ridge to the west and a departing low pressure system\/<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> to the east (see satellite image below). This strong flow aloft will cause diurnally-driven storms to move quickly to the south-southeast. Some moisture is present along the plains of eastern Colorado this morning where <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> are near or just above the 50F mark, but the moisture looks shallow. The morning Denver sounding shows abundant dry air aloft with <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> similar to yesterday at 0.75 inches. Even more dry air is evident in the Grand Junction sounding (<span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> = 0.51 inches), indicating storms will favor the eastern portion of the state. The dry air will help mix out surface moisture, and drop <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> into the 30Fs and 40Fs, which will limit the amount of instability that can build and cause storms to have higher bases and produce more gusty winds than rainfall. There will still be enough moisture to fire <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> storms over the mountain terrains with ample sunshine, and storms should favor the eastern mountains and southern San Juan Mountains for development. Better moisture will remain further south over the Southeast Mountains today, so higher rain rates will be expected here. Storms will have difficulty producing heavy rain due to fast storm motions and the limited low-level moisture, so flooding is not expected today.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12589\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"526\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic.png 1083w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FTB_20200731_graphic-1024x770.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<br><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. Hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2020.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11243\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2020.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"717\" height=\"537\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<br><\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Southeast Mountains, San Juan Mountains, San Luis Valley, Front Range, Raton Ridge, Southeast Plains, Palmer Ridge, Urban Corridor, &amp; Northeast Plains:<br><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> diurnal thunderstorms will fire over the higher terrain and track south-southeast this afternoon. The highest chances for storm coverage will be over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, and max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.4 inches will be possible. Slightly higher totals might be possible over the western Raton Ridge further south. Flooding is not expected today, but as always, if a storm tracks directly over a recent burn area, there is a chance for <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span> issues, so use caution if near one. Further north and west, max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.25 inches will be possible. Storms could also produce gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds (up to 45mph).<\/p>\n<p>An <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> thunderstorm or two will likely track into the Urban Corridor and plains regions as they move off the mountains, but these storms should dissipate quickly and may produce some strong <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds as this occurs. Additionally, some storms may track into the Northeast Plains, but quick storm motion to the south should keep totals around 0.5 inches. No flooding is expected.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 11PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Grand Valley, Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains, &amp; Southwest Slope:<br><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mostly sunny and warm today with high temperatures possibly reaching 100F for the Grand Valley. Small, <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> diurnal storms are possible over the southern Central and San Juan Mountains, but rain rates should stay under 0.1 in\/hr. Storms could produce brief gusts up to 40 mph. Flooding is not forecasted.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Friday, July 31st, 2020 Issue Time: 10:15AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is NOT expected today Strong northerly flow continues over Colorado today due to the state being stuck between a high amplitude ridge to the west and a departing low pressure system\/<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;trough&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure; the opposite of a ridge.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>trough<\/span> to the east (see satellite image below). This strong flow aloft will [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12588"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12588"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12588\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12590,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12588\/revisions\/12590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}