{"id":1247,"date":"2015-07-13T10:13:25","date_gmt":"2015-07-13T16:13:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=1247"},"modified":"2015-07-14T06:51:39","modified_gmt":"2015-07-14T12:51:39","slug":"ftb-07-13-2015-subtropical-moisture-continues-to-stream-in-from-the-southwest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=1247","title":{"rendered":"FTB 07-13-2015: Subtropical Moisture Continues to Stream in from the Southwest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/13\/2015<br>\nIssue Time: 10:05 AM<\/p>\n<p><em>LOW FLOOD THREAST IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING REGIONS: SOUTHWEST SLOPE, SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, GRAND VALLEY, CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, NORTHERN MOUNTAINS, NORTHWEST SLOPE, FRONT RANGE, AND URBAN CORRIDOR.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The upper-level high pressure ridge will remain in charge of the flow aloft across Colorado today, with southwest flow continuing the stream of subtropical moisture into the state. Absent from the upper-level environment is a trigger mechanism, so expect today to feature <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms over the High Country and, with the mean flow directed from the west-southwest, a few <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> storms will move over adjacent low elevations of Eastern Colorado, as well. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;precipitable water&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Precipitable water<\/span> values are above average across western Colorado, so heavy rain and <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span> will be possible underneath stronger thunderstorms, especially for areas of SW Colorado that received heavy rain yesterday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WV_07132015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"  wp-image-1248 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/WV_07132015.png\" alt=\"WV_07132015\" width=\"487\" height=\"371\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>For the lower elevations of eastern Colorado, it will be a fairly typical July day with <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>isolated<\/span> thunderstorms moving off the mountains and over portions of the Palmer Ridge, Urban Corridor, Northeast Plains and Southeast Plains. Further east over the Southeast Plains, near the CO\/KS border, a strong-to-<span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;severe thunderstorm&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;Thunderstorms that produce a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 kts) and\/or hail at least 1&amp;quot; in diameter.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>severe thunderstorm<\/span> or two will likely develop this afternoon and evening, with the main threats being lightning, hail, brief heavy rain, and strong winds.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below (hover over threat areas for more details). For Zone-Specific forecasts, jump below the map.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/07132015_LFT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1256\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/07132015_LFT.png\" alt=\"07132015_LFT\" width=\"890\" height=\"498\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright wp-image-135\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/floodthreat_legend2.png\" alt=\"Flood Threat Legend\" width=\"275\" height=\"71\"\/><\/div>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Southeast Plains, Northeast Plains, and Raton Ridge:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;isolated&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;less than 10% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Isolated<\/span> thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening, with the best coverage near the mountains. A couple strong-to-severe storms will be possible across eastern portions of the Southeast Plains, mainly near the CO\/KS border, where steep mid-level lapse rates and low-level moisture will be best. Rain rates will generally be 0.25-0.65 inches\/hour, but stronger thunderstorms could produce rain at 0.6-1.2 inches\/hour.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 2 PM &ndash; 10 PM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Front Range, Northern Mountains, Northwest Slope, Grand Valley, Central Mountains, Southeast Mountains, San Luis Valley, Southwest Slope, and San Juan Mountains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> showers and thunderstorms are expected through today and into the nighttime hours as ample moisture continues to stream in from the southwest. Orographic forcing and daytime heating will be the main players in triggering the activity, so expect thunderstorms to initially develop over the higher ridges and move to the east-northeast with time. Rain rates will typically be 0.3-0.6 inches\/hour, but stronger thunderstorms will potentially produce rainfall at 0.8-1.4 inches\/hour. Some dry air below cloud base will help limit the flooding threat, as will storm motions. Areas that received heavy rainfall yesterday will be of main concern with regards to <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;flash flooding&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;flash flooding can refer to usually dry areas becoming rapidly inundated with water, or rapid water level rises on streams, creeks, or rivers beyond flood stage; typically caused by heavy rainfall, but can also be caused by meltwater&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>flash flooding<\/span> issues today.<\/p>\n<p>Timing: 11 AM &ndash; 10 PM, but a few showers and thunderstorms will persist into tomorrow morning as the moist, southwest flow continues.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: 7\/13\/2015 Issue Time: 10:05 AM LOW FLOOD THREAST IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING REGIONS: SOUTHWEST SLOPE, SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, GRAND VALLEY, CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, NORTHERN MOUNTAINS, NORTHWEST SLOPE, FRONT RANGE, AND URBAN CORRIDOR. The upper-level high pressure ridge will remain in charge of the flow aloft across Colorado today, with southwest flow [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1247"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1247"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1257,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1247\/revisions\/1257"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}