{"id":11679,"date":"2020-05-28T09:17:41","date_gmt":"2020-05-28T15:17:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coloradofloodthreat.com\/?p=11679"},"modified":"2020-05-28T09:17:41","modified_gmt":"2020-05-28T15:17:41","slug":"ftb-05-28-2020-scattered-storms-return-to-the-mountains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/?p=11679","title":{"rendered":"FTB 05-28-2020: Scattered Storms Return to the Mountains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Thursday, May 28th, 2020<br>\nIssue Time: 9:15AM MDT<\/p>\n<p><em>&mdash; Flooding is <strong>NOT<\/strong> expected today <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Similar set up to yesterday with northerly flow aloft over the state as seen in the 500mb RAP analysis below. The main difference is that there is no distinct <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;shortwave&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>shortwave<\/span> that will move through the flow to help enhance lift and increase moisture. Still expecting storms to pop over the mountains with upslope flow and residual moisture this afternoon. The northerly storm motion should keep storms mostly over the mountains, although they may move into the adjacent eastern plains favoring the higher elevations of the Palmer and Raton Ridges for accumulations later this afternoon and evening. With <span class=\"glossaryLink\"  aria-describedby=\"tt\"  data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;PW&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;(Stands for: Precipitable Water) The total atmospheric water vapor contained in a vertical column of the atmosphere. It is typically measured in inches, and anomalously (deviation from normal) high values of precipitable water generally correlate to heavy rainfall potential.&lt;\/div&gt;\"  data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>PW<\/span> measured at 0.63 inches in Grand Junction and 0.74 inches in Denver, storms will have better coverage east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span> and favor the Front Range, Southeast Mountains and eastern San Juans for development. Although <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;dew points&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;The temperature to which a given air parcel must be cooled (at constant pressure and water vapor content) in order for saturation to occur.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>dew points<\/span> in the mid-40Fs will produce high-based storms, slow steering winds under the ridge will allow totals to increase more than they typically would. However, rain rates will not reach flood threat criteria.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11680\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/500mb_20200528.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"418\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Today&rsquo;s Flood Threat Map<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For more information on today&rsquo;s flood threat, see the map below. If there is a threat, hover over the threat areas for more details, and click on burn areas to learn more about them. For Zone-Specific forecasts, scroll below the threat map.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11243 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/FTB_No_Flood_Threat_2020.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"717\" height=\"537\"\/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Zone-Specific Forecasts:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Front Range,<\/strong> <strong>Southeast Mountains<\/strong><strong>, San Juan Mountains, <\/strong><strong>Urban Corridor, Palmer Ridge, Raton Ridge, Southeast Plains<\/strong><strong>, &amp; <\/strong><strong>Northeast Plains:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Afternoon upslope flow will increase storm activity over the mountains by early afternoon. Storms are anticipated favor areas along and east of the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Continental Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Continental Divide<\/span> for accumulations. Max 1-hour rain rates up to 0.50 inches will be possible over the mountains with gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds and small hail being the main threats under the stronger storms. As storms spill into the adjacent plains, totals over a 1 to 2-hour period could increase to 0.75 inches over the Palmer Ridge and just east of the Denver Metro with small hail possible under the stronger storms. With spotty coverage and lower rain rates, flooding is not forecast. Some late-night rainfall may be possible over the adjacent eastern plains tonight as well.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 1:30AM<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Northwest Slope, Northern Mountains, Central Mountains,<\/strong> <strong>Grand Valley, Southwest Slope,<\/strong><strong> &amp; <\/strong><strong>San Luis Valley:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Bit drier than yesterday over these regions, which means a downtick in afternoon storm activity. <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;scattered&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;25-40% areal coverage&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Scattered<\/span> storms are still anticipated to develop over the mountains, and the storms will favor areas along and near the <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;Divide&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;&amp;lt;!-- wp:paragraph {&amp;quot;textColor&amp;quot;:&amp;quot;white&amp;quot;} --&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;p class=&amp;quot;has-white-color has-text-color&amp;quot;&amp;gt;the dividing line that separates the watersheds of the western and eastern United States; rivers west of the divide empty into the Pacific Ocean, while rivers east of the divide empty into the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico&amp;lt;\/p&amp;gt;\n&amp;lt;!-- \/wp:paragraph --&amp;gt;&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>Divide<\/span>. Expecting some gusty <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;outflow&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A cool pool of air that results when a thunderstorm downdraft reaches the surface and spreads horizontally.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>outflow<\/span> winds, as seen yesterday with totals up to 0.15 inches possible. With southerly storm motion, the San Luis Valley may get some more light rainfall. Totals are not expected to exceed 0.10 inches. Storm activity should decrease around sundown.<\/p>\n<p>Primetime: 1PM to 8PM<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Issue Date: Thursday, May 28th, 2020 Issue Time: 9:15AM MDT &mdash; Flooding is NOT expected today Similar set up to yesterday with northerly flow aloft over the state as seen in the 500mb RAP analysis below. The main difference is that there is no distinct <span class=\"glossaryLink\" aria-describedby=\"tt\" data-cmtooltip=\"&lt;div class=glossaryItemTitle&gt;shortwave&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div class=glossaryItemBody&gt;A disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it.&lt;\/div&gt;\" data-gt-translate-attributes='[{\"attribute\":\"data-cmtooltip\", \"format\":\"html\"}]'>shortwave<\/span> that will move through the flow to help enhance [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11679"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11679\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11681,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11679\/revisions\/11681"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive-coftb.dewberryanalytics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}